Two of the nation’s service academies will meet up again for their annual showdown on Saturday as the Army Black Knights take on the Air Force Falcons in Colorado Springs.
These running teams aren’t always known for their scoring prowess, but I see good reason to back the Over in my Army vs. Air Force predictions below.
Read on for a full analysis of this leg of the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy competition in my free college football picks for Saturday, November 1.
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Army vs Air Force prediction
Army vs Air Force best bet: Over 49.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
A game between the two teams that run the ball more than anyone else in the country might not seem like a good choice for an Over pick. But based on what we’ve seen out of these service academies, it’s hard to see any other outcome.
While both teams are somewhat one dimensional, that description fits the Air Force Falcons especially well.
While Air Force has been extremely efficient on the rare occasions when they throw the ball, it has been outstanding on the ground, running the ball 52.6 times per game for 5.4 yards per carry. As a result, the Falcons are putting up 36.3 ppg.
The problem is that they just can’t stop anybody. Air Force is allowing a massive 7.8 yards per game, including 5.5 yards per play on the ground, which plays right into Army’s hands.
The Army Black Knights run the ball a nation-high 63.6 times per game, averaging 4.3 yards per carry.
Army plays more defense than Air Force, but even the Black Knights are playing to an average total of 47.9 ppg, and the Falcons will push that number higher. Even with the ball on the ground on almost every down, the Over is the play in this matchup.
Army vs Air Force same-game parlay
While high-scoring football isn’t really Army’s forte, the Black Knights have been playing the better football as of late, and I expect them to come out on top in a close game.
But with plenty of points on tap, I’m predicting both teams find offensive success, so I’m throwing in a bet on Air Force to hit its team Over to complete my SGP.
Army vs Air Force SGP
- Over 50.5
- Army moneyline
- Air Force Over 24.5
Army vs Air Force odds
- Spread: Army -1.5 (-104) | Air Force +1.5 (-118)
- Moneyline: Army -106 | Air Force -110
- Over/Under: Over 49.5 (-110) | Under 49.5 (-110)
Army vs Air Force trend to know
The Over is 7-1 in Air Force’s last eight games overall. Find more college football betting trends for Army vs Air Force.
How to watch Army vs Air Force
| Location | Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO |
| Date | Saturday, November 1, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 12:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
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