Akron vs Bowling Green Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today — College Football Week 13

Naessens' prediction: Akron hangs tough and covers the 3.5-point spread against an injury-ravaged Bowling Green.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Nov 18, 2025 • 15:50 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 1 hrs
BGSU
57 %
AKR
43 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Akron +3.5 (-115) Akron +3.5 (-115)
Read Analysis
Akron Zips NCAAF Marcel Williams
Photo By - Imagn Images. Akron WR Marcel Williams (2) after making a catch.

Injuries are plaguing the Bowling Green Falcons' quarterback room ahead of tonight's game against the Akron Zips.

As a result, my Akron vs. Bowling Green predictions are backing the Zips to stay competitive while covering the spread. 

My college football picks for Tuesday, November 18, explain further why you should believe in Akron tonight. 

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Akron vs Bowling Green prediction

Akron vs Bowling Green best bet: Akron +3.5 (-110)

The Akron Zips are in a good spot to cover the spread against a Bowling Green Falcons team trending sharply downward. 

The Zips are coming off their most explosive offensive performance of the season, where Ben Finley threw for 424 yards and three touchdowns in an OT home loss to Kent State.

Akron wideout Marcel Williams’ 206-yard eruption against Kent State gives the Zips a matchup advantage on the outside against a Falcons’ secondary allowing 7.83 yards per pass attempt and struggling to defend downfield throws.

Bowling Green enters on a four-game losing streak, cycling through four quarterbacks and scoring fewer than 21 points in each of those four losses.

Akron’s defense, meanwhile, is opportunistic and already has 18 takeaways, which should play well against a Falcons offense with 10 interceptions on the year.

Akron has multiple paths to cover the number and threatens to win outright. Roll with the Zips.

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Akron vs Bowling Green same-game parlay

Bowling Green averages 7.8 first-half points per game because of their instability at quarterback. Akron’s elite red-zone defense should thwart the Falcons enough to cover the 1H spread. 

The Falcons have scored a total of 37 points in their previous three home games. Akron is one of the lowest-scoring teams nationally, so we’ll add the Under for the third leg. 

Akron vs Bowling Green SGP

  • Akron +3.5
  • Akron 1H +2.5
  • Under 47.5 

Our deep-ball SGP: Zip it up

Marcel Williams is coming off a two-touchdown game against Kent State and meets a Bowling Green defense allowing a dozen receiving touchdowns.

Akron quarterback Ben Finley has thrown two or more passing touchdowns in four straight games and seven times this season. 

Akron vs Bowling Green SGP

  • Akron +3.5
  • Akron 1H +2.5
  • Under 47.5 
  • Williams anytime touchdown
  • Finley Over 1.5 passing touchdowns

Akron vs Bowling Green odds

  • Spread: Akron +4.5 (-110) | Bowling Green -4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Akron +170 | Bowling Green -190
  • Over/Under: Over 47.5 (-110) | Under 47.5 (-110)

Akron vs Bowling Green trend to know

Bowling Green is 1-4 ATS in its previous five games. Find more college football betting trends for Akron vs Bowling Green.

How to watch Akron vs Bowling Green

Location Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH
Date Tuesday, November 18, 2025
Kickoff 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPNU

Akron vs Bowling Green latest injuries

Akron vs Bowling Green weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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