NC State vs Auburn Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Our NC State vs. Auburn predictions expect Tahaad Pettiford & Co. to pull away against the Wolfpack.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Dec 3, 2025 • 13:04 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 7 hrs
AUB
61 %
NCST
39 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Auburn -7.5 (-115) Auburn -7.5 (-115)
Read Analysis
Elyjah Freeman Tahaad Pettiford Auburn Tigers SEC college basketball
Photo By - Imagn Images. Auburn Tigers guard Elyjah Freeman and guard Tahaad Pettiford celebrate as Auburn takes on Houston.

The No. 20 Auburn Tigers face off against the NC State Wolfpack in the ACC/SEC Challenge tonight. The Wolfpack made the Final Four in 2024, while the Tigers made the Final Four last season, and both are led by new head coaches. 

Early money has come in on the Tigers, shifting the spread from -5.5 to -7.5, and my NC State vs. Auburn predictions and college basketball picks are following the line movement. 

NC State vs Auburn prediction

NC State vs Auburn best bet: Auburn -7.5 (-115)

The NC State Wolfpack are 5-2 but have covered the spread just once in their last four games. They're coming off a trip to the Maui Invitational, where they lost to Seton Hall and Texas despite being favored in both contests. 

The Auburn Tigers have a similar 6-2 record, but it's come against better competition. While they were clobbered by No. 3-ranked Michigan, they lost by just a single point to No. 8 Houston (No. 6) while beating No. 22 St. John's.

Auburn is spearheaded by the duo of Keyshawn Hall (20.9 points and 9.0 rebounds per game) and Tahaad Pettiford (15.1 points and 3.0 assists per game). 

NC State has five double-digit scorers, led by Darrion Williams (18.7 ppg, 5.4 rpg, and 3.1 apg). 

Williams, Quadir Copeland, and Tre Holloman are combining to knock down 5.3 threes per game at a 55.2% clip. Given that they combined to shoot 31.9% from the arc last year, expect significant regression in that area.

That regression could hit in their first true road game against an Auburn squad that is athletic and closes out perimeter shooters. The Tigers are 68th in the country in adjusted defense, per KenPom, while NC State checks in at No. 91. 

The Tigers have performed better against quality teams, and that, combined with their defense and home-court advantage, is enough for me to back them on the spread. 

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NC State vs Auburn same-game parlay

Both offenses like to push the pace, which should result in more possessions and an increase in stats across the board.

Pettiford struggled with his outside shot at the start of the season, but broke out of his mini-slump in the Players Era Festival last week. He averaged 22.3 ppg over three games while going 8-19 from deep. 

While I'm fading NC State on the spread, the O/U assists for Williams is too low at 1.5. The ball-handling forward has eclipsed that number in six of seven games this season and averaged 3.6 apg with Texas Tech last year. 

NC State vs Auburn SGP

  • Auburn -7.5
  • Tahaad Pettiford Over 17.5 points
  • Darrion Williams Over 1.5 assists

Our beyond the arc SGP: TEASER

The Wolfpack don't have much interior depth, which has resulted in Ven-Allen Lubin playing 70 minutes over the last two games. He's logged 9+ boards in four straight contests and will rarely come off the court in this matchup.

NC State vs Auburn SGP

  • Auburn -7.5
  • Tahaad Pettiford Over 17.5 points
  • Darrion Williams Over 1.5 assists
  • Ven-Allen Lubin Over 8.5 rebounds

NC State vs Auburn odds

  • Spread: NC State +7.5 | Auburn -7.5
  • Moneyline: NC State +265 | Auburn -330
  • Over/Under: Over 165 | Under 165

NC State vs Auburn betting trend to know

The Wolfpack have only covered the spread in 11 of their last 31 games for -11 units and a -32% ROI. Find more college basketball betting trends for NC State vs. Auburn.

How to watch NC State vs Auburn

Location Neville Arena, Auburn, AL
Date Wednesday, December 3, 2025
Tip-off 9:15 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

NC State vs Auburn key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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