March Madness Moneyline Picks for Sunday, March 29

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 28, 2026 , 01:27 PM ET • 4 min read

Sunday features two Elite Eight matchups, and Phil Naessens has March Madness picks for both.

Duke Blue Devils forward Cameron Boozer (12) reacts with guard Cayden Boozer (2).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Duke Blue Devils forward Cameron Boozer (12) reacts with guard Cayden Boozer (2).

We’re heading toward the Final Four with two Elite 8 matchups that are sure to entertain.

Although my Sunday moneyline picks are chalky, Michigan and Duke are teams that aren’t easily derailed.

Read on for my March Madness picks for March 29.

March Madness moneyline picks on Sunday, March 29

Matchup Pick
Tennessee Tennessee
vs
Michigan Michigan

Michigan -310
UConn UConn
vs
Duke Duke

Duke -205

Lines courtesy of bet365.

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Expert March Madness Elite Eight moneyline picks for Sunday

No. 6 Tennessee vs No. 1 Michigan: Michigan Michigan (-310)

The Michigan Wolverines have been the better team against ranked opponents all season. They are better shooters from downtown and defend at an elite level.

Slowing Michigan’s offense is one thing, but the Tennessee Volunteers will struggle to score consistently against the No. 1 defense per KenPom.

Michigan is the complete package and will advance to the Final 4.


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No. 2 UConn vs No. 1 Duke: Duke Duke moneyline (-205)

The Duke Blue Devils have just a little more balance on offense, and that’s their edge.

Caleb Foster is back, and his return gives the Blue Devils the steady ball-handler and scorer they missed during his absence.

Although the UConn Huskies boast experience, Duke’s depth and ability to get points from the Boozer brothers as the clock winds down will make the difference.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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