The SEC frontrunner finally makes its Nashville debut today, with the Florida Gators coming off a decisive 16-2 SEC season. They beat the Kentucky Wildcats twice this season, and that should become three times to start the SEC quarterfinals.
My Kentucky vs. Florida predictions and college basketball picks expect the Gators to start their weekend fast on Friday, March 13.
Kentucky vs Florida prediction
Kentucky vs Florida best bet
Kentucky vs Florida best bet: Florida team total Over 85.5 (-120)
It is never a good time to play the Florida Gators. It is a particularly bad time to play the defending champions when you are already tired.
For the third straight day, the Kentucky Wildcats tip off the action at the SEC Tournament, while Florida has had six full days off since … beating Kentucky.
The Gators play at the second-fastest pace in the SEC, and they thrive on the glass, ranking No. 2 in offensive rebounding rate in conference play and No. 1 in defensive rebounding rate. Every piece of that sentence should worry the Wildcats’ tired legs.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Kentucky vs Florida same-game parlay
Otega Oweh has been productive in the first two rounds of the SEC Tournament, scoring 23 and 21 points in the two games, but he has not been exactly efficient. The Wildcats’ best player has shot 17-of-37 (45.9%) from the field, including 2-of-9 from deep.
The best defense in the SEC will force Oweh into inefficient and contested shots inside the arc, and that is simply not a recipe for him to find the Over on this points prop.
Kentucky vs Florida SGP
- Florida team total Over 85.5
- Florida -11
- Otega Oweh Under 22.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Oweh's desperation
This is not as illogical as it looks on the surface.
Florida should control this game. The Gators are rested and already like to run. They should have a double-digit lead heading into the final 10 minutes of the game.
That will be a perfect moment for Otega Oweh to hoist some desperate 3-pointers. If he hits just one in that garbage time, he could cash this 3-pointers prop while still falling short in just about every other way against one of the few genuine national title contenders in the country.
Kentucky vs Florida SGP
- Florida team total Over 85.5
- Florida -11
- Otega Oweh Under 22.5 points
- Otega Oweh Over 1.5 3-pointers
Kentucky vs Florida odds
- Spread: Kentucky +11 | Florida -11
- Moneyline: Kentucky +390 | Florida -525
- Over/Under: Over 159.5 | Under 159.5
Kentucky vs Florida betting trend to know
Florida has gone 5-0 against the spread in its last five games, exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 10.3 points in those five games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Kentucky vs. Florida.
How to watch Kentucky vs Florida
| Location | Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN |
| Date | Friday, March 13, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Kentucky vs Florida key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
