Indiana vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Indiana may have just won the CFP National Championship, but things aren't looking quite as sunny on the basketball court. The Hoosiers will get thumped by Morez Johnson Jr. and Michigan tonight.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jan 20, 2026 • 08:07 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 9 hrs
MICH
35 %
IND
65 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Michigan -16.0 (-105) Michigan -16.0 (-105)
Read Analysis
Morez Johnson Jr. Michigan Wolverines NCAA College Basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Michigan F Morez Johnson Jr. (21) after getting a bucket.

Crisler Arena will be rocking tonight as the Michigan Wolverines return home from a two-game road trip to host the Indiana Hoosiers in Big Ten action.

The Wolverines defense is tough, and my Indiana vs. Michigan predictions expect the home team to bowl over the visitors.  

Read on for my college basketball picks for Tuesday, January 20.

Indiana vs Michigan prediction

Indiana vs Michigan best bet: Michigan -16 (-105)

The Michigan Wolverines rank second nationally in 2-point field-goal percentage and average 93.1 points per game, backed by the second-best defense in the country.

The Indiana Hoosiers enter on a three-game losing streak, sit 0–5 in Quadrant 1 games, and continue to struggle on the glass, ranking 13th in the Big Ten in rebounding.

Michigan’s size and depth generate consistent second-chance scoring, while Indiana’s perimeter-heavy shot profile, where 50% of its attempts come from downtown, will struggle against Michigan’s elite 36.0% field-goal defense.

The Wolverines score, rebound, and defend at a much higher level, setting up a convincing Michigan victory.

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Indiana vs Michigan same-game parlay

Indiana guard Lamar Wilkerson has struggled to score from all three levels recently, and expecting a 20-point night against this Michigan defense is a stretch.

We’re adding the Under as the Hoosiers remain overly reliant on made threes to generate offense. That profile has a low floor against the Wolverines' stop unit, making it difficult for Indiana to score enough to push the total Over.

Indiana vs Michigan SGP

  • Michigan -16
  • Lamar Wilkerson Under 19.5
  • Under 163

Our beyond the arc SGP: SNIKT!

Morez Johnson Jr. is the Wolverines' engine, and he’s scored more than 14 points in four of his last six games and in three straight Big Ten games at Crisler Arena.

Aday Mara is Michigan’s leading rebounder. I expect plenty of Indiana bricks tonight, and the Hoosiers are one of the worst rebounding teams in the conference. 

Indiana vs Michigan SGP

  • Michigan -16
  • Lamar Wilkerson Under 19.5
  • Under 163
  • Morez Johnson Jr. Over 13.5 points
  • Aday Mara Over 6.5 rebounds

Indiana vs Michigan odds

  • Spread: Indiana +16 (-115) | Michigan -16 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Indiana +950 | Michigan -1700
  • Over/Under: Over 163 (-110) | Under 163 (-110)

Indiana vs Michigan betting trend to know

Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Indiana vs. Michigan.

How to watch Indiana vs Michigan

Location Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI
Date Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Peacock

Indiana vs Michigan key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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