Cincinnati vs Kansas Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's College Basketball Game

Two of the Big 12’s toughest defenses square off as Cincinnati and Kansas smother each other’s offenses.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Feb 21, 2026 • 08:56 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 2 hrs
CIN
44 %
KU
56 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u138.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Darryn Peterson Kansas Jayhawks NCAAB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kansas Jayhawks guard Darryn Peterson (22) defends during the first half.

The Big 12 Conference is heating up, and we have a dandy this afternoon when the Kansas Jayhawks host the Cincinnati Bearcats at Allen Fieldhouse.

With two robust defenses featured today, my Cincinnati vs. Kansas predictions expect a low-scoring affair in Lawrence.

Read on for my college basketball picks for Saturday, February 21.

Cincinnati vs Kansas prediction

Cincinnati vs Kansas best bet: Under 138.5 (-110)

The total has inflated by four points, creating significant value for the Under. Despite the Cincinnati Bearcats' recent three-point outbursts, they average just 63.2 PPG on the road and face a Kansas Jayhawks defense that leads the Big 12 in field goal and three-point percentage.

Furthermore, Jayhawks star Darryn Peterson is plagued by recurring second-half cramps, often exiting early.

With two Top 15 interior defenses and a dominant Kansas rebounding trio limiting second-chance points, expect a low-possession grind that stays well below the game total.

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Cincinnati vs Kansas same-game parlay

Darryn Peterson has been held under 20 points in five of his last six games, and Baba Miller averages just 11 points per game on the road. Now he faces one of the nation’s top interior defensive units.

Cincinnati vs Kansas SGP

  • Under 138.5
  • Darryn Peterson Under 19.5 points
  • Baba Miller Under 13.5 points

Our beyond the arc SGP: Keeping the Jizzle to a minimum

Jizzle James is shooting just 36 percent from three on the road, and now he faces a strong perimeter defense in front of a raucous home crowd that should make clean looks hard to come by.

Cincinnati vs Kansas SGP

  • Under 138.5
  • Darryn Peterson Under 19.5 points
  • Baba Miller Under 12.5 points
  • Jizzle James Under 1.5 made threes

Cincinnati vs Kansas odds

  • Spread: Cincinnati +10.5 (-110) | Kansas -10.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +450 | Kansas -600
  • Over/Under: Over 138.5 (-110) | Under 138.5 (-110)

Cincinnati vs Kansas betting trend to know

Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Cincinnati vs. Kansas.

How to watch Cincinnati vs Kansas

Location Allen Fieldhouse, Lawrence, KS
Date Saturday, February 21, 2026
Tip-off 1:00 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Cincinnati vs Kansas key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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