The No. 7 Florida Gators, winners of eight straight, aim to stay hot as they host the No. 20 Arkansas Razorbacks in Gainesville tonight.
ESPN has the coverage at 8:30 pm ET as SEC regular-season title hopes are on the line in a massive ranked-on-ranked matchup, and the high total of 168.5 indicates that points will come in bunches.
See why my Arkansas vs. Florida predictions and college basketball picks are riding with the underdog for Saturday, February 28.
Arkansas vs Florida prediction
Arkansas vs Florida best bet: Arkansas +11 (-116)
The Florida Gators have been demolishing opponents, going 6-2 ATS during an eight-game winning streak. Books haven’t been able to keep up, so they’re now compensating with an artificially wide line (-11) in a ranked-on-ranked conference game.
Time to sell high.
The Arkansas Razorbacks rank 11th in BartTorvik since January 20, and their adjusted offensive efficiency (3rd) is 19 spots higher than Florida's. Unlike many other SEC teams, the Razorbacks are no pushover.
Darius Acuff and Maleek Thomas give the Hawgs the superior backcourt, and they’re a big reason why John Calipari’s squad is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games.
Arkansas vs Florida same-game parlay
If Arkansas is to stay close, star freshman guard Darius Acuff needs to play like the SEC Player of the Year. He’s dished 5+ assists in 11 of his last 12 games, and the game flow should be ripe for him to run and gun.
Both teams rank within the top 35 in adjusted tempo, so there should be a plentitude of possession — hence the high total of 168.5.
That opens things up for Billy Richmond, who has stepped into a bigger role lately due to injuries elsewhere, capitalizing with 20+ points in four consecutive contests.
Arkansas vs Florida SGP
- Arkansas +11
- Darius Acuff Over 4.5 assists
- Billy Richmond Over 14.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Shaky D!
Arkansas’ weaknesses are backcourt defense and rebounding, creating a back-and-forth, high-paced contest ripe for player prop Overs.
Arkansas vs Florida SGP
- Xaivian Lee Over 12.5 points
- Xaivian Lee Over 4.5 assists
- Rueben Chinyelu Over 11.5 rebounds
- Darius Acuff Over 4.5 assists
Arkansas vs Florida odds
- Spread: Arkansas +10 (-110) | Florida -10 (-110)
- Moneyline: Arkansas +400 | Florida -525
- Over/Under: Over 170 (-110) | Under 170 (-110)
Arkansas vs Florida betting trend to know
Arkansas is 4-0 ATS in its last four away games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Arkansas vs. Florida.
How to watch Arkansas vs Florida
| Location | Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL |
| Date | Saturday, February 28, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Arkansas vs Florida key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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