Wizards vs Clippers Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Zubac Dominates Down Low for L.A.

Ivica Zubac has proved to be a key presence on both ends of the floor for Los Angeles this season. Read more as the Croatian center headlines Friday night's betting picks when the Clippers play host to the lowly Wizards.

Rob Paul - Contributor at Covers.com
Rob Paul • Betting Analyst
Mar 1, 2024 • 16:14 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Ivica Zubac Los Angeles Clippers NBA
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It’s a miracle the Washington Wizards have won even nine games this season, and even with the Los Angeles Clippers potentially not at full strength, they are expected to handle business comfortably tonight.

The NBA odds have the Clippers as a 15.5-point favorite at home, with the Wizards amid a 13-game losing streak that includes giving up at least 123 points in eight of those games. 

Find out where my best bets lie in our NBA picks and predictions for Wizards vs. Clippers on Friday, March 1.

Wizards vs Clippers odds

Wizards vs Clippers predictions

As it stands, the Los Angeles Clippers have listed both Paul George (knee) and Ivica Zubac (illness) as questionable for tonight's game against the Washington Wizards

With that being said, it sounds more likely that Zubac, who missed the Clippers' loss to the LA Lakers on Wednesday, will suit up than George. George’s knee injury has caused him to miss the last two games, and with the lowly Wizards coming to town, there’s no reason for coach Ty Lue to rush him back.

Zubac may prove to be a crucial asset in this matchup, especially considering that backup centers Daniel Theis and Mason Plumlee have seen limited playing time this season. Assuming Zubac plays, his defense won’t only be a key to victory, but his offense will as well. Not only is Washington third last in the NBA in defensive rating, but it’s also dead last in points allowed per game (124.4).

One of its biggest issues has been slowing big men like Zubac, with Washington giving up the most points (26.8) and rebounds (18.3) per game to centers in the NBA. The Wizards haven’t been able to stop bigs all season and allow the second-most points in the paint (59.4).

While Zubac isn’t a dominant force down low, he does average the fifth most paint touches in the NBA among players who have played at least 40 games this season (nine). He’s efficient with those touches, too, shooting 67.9% and scoring 8.9 points in the paint per game.

Zubac is averaging a career-high 12 points and hitting 65.5% of his shots from the floor. He’s been a consistent threat and a key glue guy for a Clippers team full of superstars. The former second-round pick also leads the Clippers in rebounds, pulling in 9.5 boards per game, the second-highest total of his career.

Washington is also dead last in the NBA in both rebounds per game (40.8) and rebounds allowed per game (49.4). On the season, Zubac has racked up 16 double-doubles, including three in his last four games.

My best bet: Ivica Zubac to record a double-double (+155 at bet365)

Wizards vs Clippers same-game parlay

Ivica Zubac to record a double-double

Kyle Kuzma Over 20.5 points

Marvin Bagley Under 13.5 points

For as bad as the Wizards have been this season, Kyle Kuzma is having a career year thanks to his usage. The former Laker is averaging 22 points per game, the most of his career, while putting up 18.9 shots per night.

Kuzma is 10th in the NBA in usage rate among players who have played at least 40 games (29.8%), and thanks to the sheer volume of shots he takes, he’s scored at least 21 points in 35 of 57 games. The last time Kuzma played the Clippers, he finished with 27 points on 22 field goals.

Los Angeles is allowing the fourth fewest points per game to centers in the NBA (20.8), and Marvin Bagley only had 10 the last time these two played. On the season, he’s topped 13.5 points just 16 times in 42 games.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Wizards vs Clippers spread and Over/Under analysis

With how much the Wizards have struggled this season, most books opened with the Clippers as 14 to 15.5-point favorites. Even with the news that Paul George and Ivica Zubac are questionable for the game, the line has continued to trend in LA’s favor. The Clippers are now -15 to -15.5 pretty much everywhere.

Neither the Clippers nor the Wizards have been great against the spread this season. LA is 29-28 and just 1-7 in its last eight while Washington is 28-30-1 and 4-4 in its last eight. When these two played on January 31, the Clippers won 125-109 and covered the 9.5-point spread.

The game total opened at 240.5 with the O/U trending down to between 239 and 239.5 at most books.

The Clippers have been one of the worst Over bets in the NBA this season, going 22-33-2, and have hit the Over just three times in the last 15 games. The Wizards have been a slightly better Over bet at 28-30-1 and 4-2 in the last six. In the previous matchup, the Under 235.5 hit.

Wizards vs Clippers betting trend to know

The Wizards have only cashed the moneyline in 14 of their last 79 games (-43.15 Units / -45% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Wizards vs. Clippers.

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Wizards vs Clippers game info

Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Friday, March 1, 2024
Tip-off: 10:30 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports SoCal, MNMT2

Wizards vs Clippers latest injuries

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Rob Paul - Contributor at Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Rob has contributed to various sports media outlets since 2018, including FanSided and Pro Football Network, but Covers is the first site he’s worked at that is dedicated solely to the sports betting industry. Before working in sports media full-time, he spent five years as a local community journalist after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history.

He’s long been involved in sports in one way or another, previously hosting a podcast focused on the NFL draft and college football. Working as a freelance podcast producer, Rob has appeared on numerous sports podcasts and college football shows. He's also been a guest on SportsTalk Mississippi, discussing the NFL draft.

One of his favorite things about the sports betting industry is the way it helps shine a light on sports that get less coverage. He’s a diehard player prop bettor who always recommends using stats and analytics to identify the best players to back before placing a bet.

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