Desperation defines this evening's clash at Chase Center as a pair of Western Conference fixtures fight to snap identical three-game skids. The Warriors must navigate life without Stephen Curry against a Minnesota squad hungry to protect a Top 6 seed in danger of slipping even further.
I'm taking advantage of this evening's showdown with a three-leg same-game parlay focused heavily on the vision and playmaking of Anthony Edwards. Ant's willingness to share the rock will guide the Wolves to victory tonight.
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Timberwolves vs Warriors same game parlay for March 13
Anthony Edwards 5+ assists
Julius Randle 20+ points
Timberwolves moneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves vs 
Golden State Warriors
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center
- TV: Prime Video, NBCSBA, TSN
Anthony Edwards isn’t known as a high-assist player and typically doesn’t generate a large number of potential assists. However, this matchup against the Warriors creates a path for him to clear an alternate line of 5+ assists. Golden State is expected to start Draymond Green at center with Gui Santos in the frontcourt, leaving them with very little rim protection. That lack of size makes it difficult for them to contain Edwards’ downhill drives. Instead of meeting him at the rim, Green and Santos will likely have to step in early to slow him down.
When that help comes early, it should open up several dump-off opportunities to Minnesota’s bigs around the basket. Against a much smaller Warriors frontcourt, those interior looks should be high-percentage chances to convert Edwards’ passes into assists.
The 20+ points for Julius Randle pairs naturally with the assists for Edwards. If Edwards is creating advantages off the dribble, some of those potential assists should go directly to Randle, who can use his strength to bully his way to the rim and convert those opportunities. Randle also has a clear size advantage against the Warriors’ small frontcourt. That mismatch should lead to plenty of isolation opportunities, allowing him to attack defenders one-on-one and generate efficient scoring chances around the basket.
The Timberwolves are listed as 5.5-point favorites against the Warriors, and that’s a number I’m comfortable backing as I make the line closer to 8. The key factor in this matchup is Minnesota’s size advantage, which becomes even more significant with Stephen Curry out of the lineup.
When Curry plays, the Warriors can go small and use his gravity to pull Rudy Gobert away from the paint. Without that threat, Gobert can stay near the rim, allowing Minnesota to fully control the interior without being punished for playing big. That creates a difficult matchup for Golden State. Green simply doesn’t have the size to consistently deal with a frontcourt that includes Randle, Gobert, and Naz Reid, especially with Edwards applying constant pressure at the rim.
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