The Phoenix Suns have won four of their last five games, and they’ll look to stay hot when they face the 18-1 Oklahoma City Thunder on the road.
New addition Mark Williams has been tremendous for Phoenix as of late, and my Suns vs. Thunder predictions call for another productive outing from the big man.
Here are my best free NBA picks for Friday’s matchup at Paycom Center on November 28.
Suns vs Thunder prediction
Suns vs Thunder best bet: Mark Williams Over 19.5 points + rebounds (-125)
Mark Williams’ tenure with the Phoenix Suns is off to a great start, as he’s averaging 12.9 points and 8.9 rebounds per game this season, good for 21.8 points + rebounds. Over his last 14 appearances, he’s averaged 23 points + rebounds.
In that span, Williams has posted 19.8 points + rebounds at home compared to 27.5 on the road. He’s hit the Over on this combo line in five of his last six on the road, including a monster, 21-point, 16-rebound effort against the Kings on Wednesday.
For as good as Williams has been over his last 14, he’s been even better over his last four with averages of 17.3 points and 10.3 rebounds. The big man has hit the Over in four straight heading into Friday’s tilt with the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder have allowed the fewest points per game in the paint this season, but Williams hit the Over against another stingy interior defense when he went for 27 against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Oklahoma City has allowed the 12th-most rebounds per game this season, and Williams has corralled 20 offensive boards across his last four games. Expect him to keep up his strong play on the road Friday.
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Suns vs Thunder same-game parlay
Collin Gillespie has hit the Over on this line in six straight while averaging 27.9 PRA. He’s stepped into a larger role with Jalen Williams and Grayson Allen sidelined, embracing his new opportunity and contributing as a scorer, rebounder and facilitator.
Phoenix is 12-6-1 ATS, and Oklahoma City is 10-9. The Suns have covered in four straight road games, while the Thunder are just 2-2 ATS across their last four at home. I’ll take the Suns to keep this one within 16 points.
Suns vs Thunder SGP
- Mark Williams Over 19.5 points + rebounds
- Collin Gillespie Over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Suns +15.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: J-Dub's debut goes well
Jalen Williams may face a minutes restriction in his season debut, but even with limited playing time, he should have no problem clearing this modest combo line. Williams averaged a career-best 32 PRA a season ago.
Suns vs Thunder SGP
- Mark Williams Over 19.5 points + rebounds
- Collin Gillespie Over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Suns +15.5
- Jalen Williams Over 19.5 points + rebounds + assists
Suns vs Thunder odds
- Spread: Phoenix +15.5 (-110) | Oklahoma City -15.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Phoenix +750 | Oklahoma City -1100
- Over/Under: Over 228 (-110) | Under 228 (-110)
Suns vs Thunder betting trend to know
The Suns have covered in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Thunder.
How to watch Suns vs Thunder
| Location | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| Date | Friday, November 28, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Suns Live, FanDuel Sports Network Oklahoma |
Suns vs Thunder latest injuries
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