Game Seven. The two sweetest words in sports.
In a matchup that felt inevitable, the Top 2 seeds in the Western Conference will meet for a winner-take-all matchup at Paycom Center tonight, with a trip to the NBA Finals on the line.
Victor Wembanyama has been limited on the glass by OKC’s bigs, and my Spurs vs. Thunder props expect that trend to continue.
My NBA picks for Saturday, May 30, also dig into Jared McCain’s combo line and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s scoring prop, as both players will be leaned on heavily by the shorthanded Thunder.
It's all part of our full Spurs vs. Thunder predictions for Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals.
Best Spurs vs Thunder props for Game 7
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
Over 30.5 points | -120 |
 Victor Wembanyama |
Under 12.5 rebounds | -110 |
| Jared McCain |
Over 17.5 PRA | -120 |
Game 7 Prop #1: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 31+ only once in this series, but his aggression and favorable home whistles will get him past his scoring line tonight.
At home, SGA has put up 22 field-goal attempts and 10.7 free throws, compared to just 16.7 FGA and 7.3 FTA on the road.
The reigning MVP has scored 30 points in two straight games following a loss in this series, and after finishing with just 15 points in the Game 6 blowout loss, I expect him to respond with a big game, making this line bettable to 32.5.
Game 7 Prop #2: Victor Wembanyama Under 12.5 rebounds
Victor Wembanyama compiled 41 total and 14 offensive rebounds in Games 1 and 2, but he’s grabbed just 28 with eight offensive boards over his last four.
Since Game 3, Isaiah Hartenstein has done a great job limiting Wembanyama in the paint, and Chet Holmgren has come alive with 31 boards across his last three to lead all players in that span.
Hartenstein leads all players in this series in rebound percentage, and his size and physicality will continue to present problems for the slighter Wembanyama. I’ll bet this one down to 11.5.
Game 7 Prop #3: Jared McCain Over 17.5 points+rebounds+assists
Jared McCain’s impact in the Western Conference Finals shows why he was the best mid-season acquisition in 2025-26.
Over the last five games, McCain has averaged 20 PRA and hit the Over on this combo line four times, including both of his starts. In that span, he ranks second in minutes, usage, and total possessions behind only Gilgeous-Alexander.
With Ajay Mitchell and Jalen Williams out again, I expect McCain to stick with the first unit, leading to plenty of opportunities to score, rebound, and facilitate. This line should be priced closer to 21.5, making it a tremendous value.
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