The San Antonio Spurs travel to the Metroplex to take on the Dallas Mavericks in an NBA Southwest Division battle.
Naji Marshall is one of the more consistent Mavs that haven’t been traded, and my Spurs vs. Mavericks predictions expect Marshall to stuff the stat sheet tonight.
Read on for my NBA picks for Thursday, February 5.
Spurs vs Mavericks prediction
Spurs vs Mavericks best bet: Naji Marshall Over 9.5 rebounds + assists (+102)
Naji Marshall might see an uptick in his typical 30+ minutes.
With the Dallas Mavericks trading away key rotation pieces like Anthony Davis and D'Angelo Russell, Marshall is in a good spot to flourish.
Marshall has cleared 9.5 rebounds + assists in seven of his last eight games, averaging just over 11 in that stretch.
At better than plus-money, Marshall’s heavy minutes and rebounding floor make this a strong play against a San Antonio Spurs group playing on no rest.
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Spurs vs Mavericks same-game parlay
Marshall should still put up numbers, but San Antonio is in a good spot to win this game. Dallas is short-handed, and the Spurs should be able to take advantage, adding to their strong 15-10 road record against a depleted Mavericks lineup.
The Spurs are 9-15 to the Under on the road, and their elite defense is well-suited to slow down a Mavericks team that’s gone 21-29 to the Under this season while dealing with multiple absences.
Spurs vs Mavericks SGP
- Naji Marshall Over 9.5 rebounds + assists
- Spurs moneyline
- Under 228
Our "from downtown" SGP: Johnson drains some threes
Keldon Johnson snapped a brutal shooting slump last night, going 4-for-8 from beyond the arc.
At this price, backing a 39% 3-point shooter to make at least two triples makes sense, especially against a Dallas defense that’s allowed nearly 40% shooting from deep over its last five games.
Spurs vs Mavericks SGP
- Naji Marshall Over 9.5 rebounds + assists
- Spurs moneyline
- Under 228
- Keldon Johnson Over 1.5 made threes
Spurs vs Mavericks odds
- Spread: Spurs -6 (-110) Mavericks +6 (-110)
- Moneyline: Spurs -240 | Mavericks +200
- Over/Under: Over 222.5 (-110) | Under 222.5 (-110)
Spurs vs Mavericks betting trend to know
The Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+19.35 Units / 35% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Mavericks.
How to watch Spurs vs Mavericks
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| Date | Thursday, February 5, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | KENS 5, MavsTV |
Spurs vs Mavericks latest injuries
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