Rockets vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Kevin Durant hasn't missed a step in his first season with Houston, and he'll carve up the Thunder tonight.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Feb 7, 2026 • 09:16 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 4 hrs
HOU
49 %
OKC
51 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Kevin Durant o24.5  Points Scored (+100) Kevin Durant o24.5 Points Scored (+100)
Read Analysis
Kevin Durant (7) drives with the ball as Dallas Mavericks forward P.J. Washington (25) defends during the first quarter at Toyota Center.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kevin Durant (7) drives with the ball as Dallas Mavericks forward P.J. Washington (25) defends during the first quarter at Toyota Center.

Kevin Durant and the Houston Rockets head to the Paycom Center this afternoon for a matchup with the Oklahoma City Thunder, with tip-off scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. 

KD is scoring the rock at a high level, and I’m eyeing him to do so again in my Rockets vs Thunder predictions as he faces his ex-team. 

Read more in my NBA picks for Saturday, February 7. 

Rockets vs Thunder prediction

Rockets vs Thunder best bet: Kevin Durant Over 24.5 points (+100)

Kevin Durant continues to impress in his first season with the Houston Rockets, averaging 26 points per game while serving as an irreplaceable piece for Houston. 

Tonight will mark KD’s first matchup with the Oklahoma City Thunder this season, the organization he started his career with. 

The revenge-game narrative is always a motivator for any player, but Durant has also scored 31 points in two of his last four appearances.

The veteran is averaging 27.3 points on the road, and he’s cashed the Over in three straight games away from Houston. 

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Rockets vs Thunder same-game parlay

Chet Holmgren is having a respectable campaign for the Thunder — averaging 17.7 points and 8.5 rebounds — but he’s struggling to score the rock at a high level lately. The big man has failed to cash his points prop in four of his last five. 

Alperen Sengun is a beast on the boards, and he makes that known almost every game. The Turkish center is averaging 9.4 rebounds per game, and he’s cashed the Over in seven straight appearances. 

Rockets vs Thunder SGP

  • Kevin Durant Over 24.5 points
  • Chet Holmgren Under 19.5 points
  • Alperen Sengun Over 8.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: Deep threat

Aaron Wiggins has hit the Over in made triples in two of his last three games.

Rockets vs Thunder SGP

  • Kevin Durant Over 24.5 points
  • Chet Holmgren Under 19.5 points
  • Alperen Sengun Over 8.5 rebounds
  • Aaron Wiggins Over 2.5 threes

Rockets vs Thunder odds

  • Spread: Rockets +3.5 (-115) | Thunder -3.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Rockets +125 | Thunder -145
  • Over/Under: Over 211.5 (-105) | Under 211.5 (-115)

Rockets vs Thunder betting trend to know

The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the spread in 31 of their last 50 home games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Rockets vs. Thunder.

How to watch Rockets vs Thunder

Location Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date Saturday, February 7, 2026
Tip-off 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Rockets vs Thunder latest injuries

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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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