It’s a jam-packed day of NBA action with 10 games on the schedule, but as is the case with late-season NBA, we’ve got a lot of massive spreads. Tonight's slate features five games with spreads at -10 or higher.
Sometimes, games with big spreads are best to attack with NBA player props. My NBA picks for today have plays in three of those games, including Ace Bailey continuing his strong play for the Jazz.
Best NBA player props today
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Donte DiVincenzo |
Over 3.5 rebounds | +102 |
 John Collins |
Over 11.5 points | -115 |
 Ace Bailey |
Over 17.5 points | -115 |
Prop #1: Donte DiVincenzo Over 3.5 rebounds
The Indiana Pacers are just winding down the clock on the season. They obviously have issues everywhere, but one of the best places to exploit them is on the glass.
Indiana enters this matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves ranked 24th in opponent rebounds per game and 27th in rebounding rate since the All-Star break.
The T-wolves have an obvious rebounding props candidate in Rudy Gobert, but the big man isn’t my favorite value on the board tonight. The honor belongs to guard Donte DiVincenzo.
While DiVincenzo hasn’t had much impact on the glass lately, he still averages 4.2 rebounds per game, and we’re getting the Over at 3.5 at plus money.
The other thing to like about this play is that the Pacers take the 12th most threes per game since coming out of the break. That means long boards to grab for DiVincenzo.
- Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FDSN-North, FDSN-Indiana
Prop #2: Ace Bailey Over 17.5 points
The Utah Jazz have clearly gone full tank mode down the stretch, but one guy is still getting minutes and making the most of them: Ace Bailey.
Bailey is showing why he was worth a high lottery pick. He’s averaging 19.5 points per game over his last 15 games, which includes him shooting a solid 37.7% from 3-point range.
He gets an interesting matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans has been playing better basketball once the team got healthy, but it was too little too late, and they're out of the playoffs.
On that note, though, Trey Murphy III is out for this game, and Dejounte Murray is questionable, two of their best defenders. That’s not great for a team that still ranks 19th in defensive rating since the All-Star break.
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: KJZZ, GCSEN
Prop #3: John Collins Over 11.5 points
The Los Angeles Clippers are locked into a Play-In spot in the Western Conference, but playing those games at home is still on the table with a strong finish.
They get a good chance to notch another win when they host the Dallas Mavericks and the red-hot Cooper Flagg.
The Mavericks need that offensive outburst because they aren’t stopping anyone from scoring, particularly on the inside. Dallas enters tonight’s matchup ranked 24th in defensive rating and 27th in opponent points in the paint since coming out of the All-Star break.
That has me targeting John Collins. The power forward is in a groove, averaging 19.8 points over his last four games with a .704 effective field goal percentage, putting up at least 15 points in all four.
He keeps that going by dominating the Mavs down low.
- Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: KFAA, FDSN-California
These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.
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