It’s a light night of hoops action with just three games on the NBA schedule, but no worries, I’ve found the best player prop for each game.
They include a big night for Chet Holmgren as OKC takes on Milwaukee, and newly minted All-Star Deni Avdija getting buckets against the Jazz.
Those and more NBA picks for Thursday, February 12, below.
Best NBA player props today
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Chet Holmgren |
Double-double | +100 |
 Deni Avdija |
Over 22.5 points | -105 |
 Deandre Ayton |
Over 12.5 points | -120 |
Prop #1: Chet Holmgren double-double
Chet Holmgren is a bad matchup for most teams, but he’s a particularly bad matchup for the Milwaukee Bucks, especially when Giannis Antetokounmpo isn’t playing.
The Bucks have little interior presence when Giannis is out and almost no rebounding. Milwaukee ranks 26th in rebounding rate and 17th in opponent rebounds per game.
That’s the key to Holmgren recording a double-double. He’s putting in more work on the glass, averaging 9.3 rebounds over his last nine games, recording six double-doubles over that span.
I’d much rather take the Oklahoma City Thunder big man to record another double-double at even money instead of a juiced rebounding prop.
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Prime Video
Prop #2: Deni Avdija Over 22.5 points
Mr. Do It All for the Portland Trail Blazers is set up for a big night against the Utah Jazz.
Deni Avdija earned his first All-Star selection by averaging 25.2 points, 7.2 rebounds and 6.6 assists and we could go a bunch of ways in this matchup. But with the way the Jazz play defense let’s lock in on the buckets Avdija will get tonight.
Utah enters this matchup ranked dead last in defensive rating and opponent scoring, surrendering 125.8 per contest.
The Jazz also allowed Avdija to go off for 33 points when they last met back in December.
- Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: KUNP, KJZZ
Prop #3: Deandre Ayton Over 12.5 points
Luka Doncic will miss another matchup against his old team when the Los Angeles Lakers host the Dallas Mavericks. That means someone else will need to step up for the Lakers.
That has me looking at Deandre Ayton. The Lakers' big man has been inconsistent, but this matchup sets up well for him.
The Mavericks have been solid defensively most of the season. Except for one area. In the interior. Dallas allows the most opponent points in the paint in the NBA.
Ayton is averaging 13.2 points per game this season, so let’s take a shot at over 12.5 tonight.
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Prime Video
These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.
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