Best NBA Player Props Today for March 27: Bailey Breakout

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 27, 2026 , 12:47 PM ET • 4 min read

The Utah Jazz have gone full tank mode down the stretch, but apparently, no one has let Ace Bailey know. The No. 5 overall pick is on fire, and he highlights Andrew Caley's NBA player prop predictions for Friday, March 27.

Ace Bailey Utah Jazz NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ace Bailey drive past a defender in NBA action.

Let’s tip the weekend off with some slam dunks in the NBA player prop markets. With 10 games on the schedule, there’s no shortage of options.

My favorites for today include Ace Bailey doing his best to sabotage the Utah Jazz’s tank job, while Chet Holmgren takes the Chicago Bulls by the horns and stuffs the stat sheet.

Those and more NBA picks for Friday, March 27, below.

Best NBA player props today

Player Pick bet365
Thunder Chet Holmgren Double-Double +200
Jazz Ace Bailey Over 20.5 Points -105
Blazers Donovan Clingan Over 14.5 Points -115

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Prop #1: Chet Holmgren Double-Double

+200 at bet365

The Oklahoma City Thunder will try to roll into a new winning streak when they play host to the Chicago Bulls on Friday night.

The Thunder can pull off these streaks because they can hurt you in so many ways. Just look at Chet Holmgren.

The Thunder big man is averaging 16 points and 9.9 rebounds in his 15 games played since the All-Star break. 

His rebounding prop is sitting at 8.5 for this matchup, but our Covers Prop Projections have him at 9.4 rebounds against a Bulls defense that surrenders the third-most opponent rebounds per game.

That has me looking at Holmgren’s double-double prop, which is priced at 2/1. 

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CHSN+, FanDuel Sports Network Oklahoma

Prop #2: Ace Bailey Over 20.5 Points

-105 at bet365

The Utah Jazz might have to start sitting down Ace Bailey if they want to fully embrace tank mode, because the Bailey breakout is for real.

Bailey is proving why he was worth a Top 5 pick. He’s averaging 21.9 points while shooting an impressive 42.9% from 3-point range over his last nine games. That includes putting up 32 or more points three times.

He gets a good matchup tonight against the Denver Nuggets. While Nikola Jokic and Co. are a machine on offense they are struggling at the other end of the floor. Denver ranks 21st in defensive rating and 18th in opponent made threes per game.

Expect another strong game from Ace tonight as he goes Over 20.5 points for the fourth time in five games.

  • Time: 9:0 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: KJZZ, ALT

Prop #3: Donovan Clingan Over 14.5 Points

-115 at bet365

The Portland Trail Blazers are a really exciting young team and that includes big man Donovan Clingan

The second-year center is arguably playing his best basketball of the season. He’s averaging 16.8 points with a .598 effective field goal percentage over his last eight games, and I like Clingan to keep putting in work in tonight’s matchup against the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavs are a young team as well, with plenty of areas to work on, with the inside maybe being the most glaring. Dallas ranks dead last in the NBA in opponent points in the paint per game.

So, let’s back Clingan to go Over his point total of 14.5, a number that he’s topped in four of his last eight games.

  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: KFAA, KUNP

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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