NBA Parlay Picks: Odds and Predictions for Monday's Playoff Games

With three NBA Playoff games on tonight's docket, Jason Logan has put together a pair of three-leg parlays covering the night's action. With Jamal Murray questionable, there are a couple of avenues to value in the Lakers-Nuggets clash.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Apr 29, 2024 • 11:18 ET • 4 min read
Aaron Gordon Denver Nuggets NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Another week of the NBA Playoffs gets started with three games on the odds board tonight.

The Boston Celtics try to put the pesky Miami Heat on the ropes in the opening tipoff, followed by the Oklahoma City Thunder going in for the kill against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Los Angeles Lakers attempt to stave off elimination in the late game when they visit the Denver Nuggets.

If you want to tie together tonight’s action, here are my best NBA picks for April 29.

NBA playoffs parlay picks April 29

  • Jovic Over 8.5 Points, McCollum Over 2.5 3-Pointers, Russell Over 4.5 Assists (+608 DraftKings)

  • Porzingis Over 15.5 Points, Giddey Over 3.5 Assists, Gordon Over 3.5 Assists (+396 DraftKings)

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Best NBA parlay picks for Monday

NBA parlay pick 1

Nikola Jovic Over 8.5 points

C.J. McCollum Over 2.5 threes

D'Angelo Russell Over 4.5 assists

Nikola Jovic saw a spike in playing time in Game 3 due to the Miami Heat’s lack of mobility in the frontcourt. At 6-foot-10, he’s the Heat’s best option in defending the pick and roll (Kevin Love and Thomas Bryant are too slow). He put up 15 points in 34 minutes and is projected for highs of 11-plus tonight.

Desperation has set in for the New Orleans Pelicans and that means C.J. McCollum will try to make things happen from downtown. The veteran guard hasn’t shot well in the series, going just 5-for-22 from distance, slimming his 3-point total. However, models are calling for three or more triples tonight.

D'Angelo Russell’s playmaking has taken a hit against the Denver Nuggets, but his potential assists are still high. He’s averaging seven potential dimes per game and had 11 in the Game 4 win, yet finished with only four actual assists. His player projections have a ceiling that surpasses seven assists in Game 5 tonight.

NBA parlay pick 2

Kristaps Porzingis Over 15.5 points

Josh Giddey Over 3.5 assists

Aaron Gordon Over 3.5 assists

Kristaps Porzingis is a nightmare matchup for the Heat and their plodding frontcourt. The unicorn has scored 18 points in two of the first three games of this quarterfinal and his scoring prop for Game 4 is as low as 15.5. Models range from 16.7 to a ceiling closer to 20 points, with all projections on the other side of 15.5 O/U.

Josh Giddey had just six total assists in the opening two games versus NOLA with his minutes limited as the Oklahoma City Thunder fine-tuned their rotations. He saw 34 minutes in Game 3 and registered six dimes, which is more in line with his season average. Projections range from 4.5 to five helpers from Giddey, who is forecast for closer to 30 minutes of work tonight.

With Jamal Murray potentially sidelined for Denver tonight, Aaron Gordon can step into the pick-and-roll playbook. We’ve seen his passing role spike when Murray is out and he’s an underrated playmaker, projected for as many as 4.7 assists in Game 5.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jasons first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600. His best advice for bettors new and old is; Handicapping isn't a one size fits all process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.

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