The Denver Nuggets keep getting away with it. Down three starters, they keep winning, hanging onto a top-three seed in the Western Conference.
But the attrition may be too much on the second night of a back-to-back, even against the Dallas Mavericks.
My Nuggets vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks expect an ugly game on Wednesday, January 14.
Nuggets vs Mavericks prediction
Nuggets vs Mavericks best bet: Under 224.5 (-110)
It should not surprise anyone that the Denver Nuggets offense has fallen off without Nikola Jokic, nine points worse per 100 possessions in eight games without him than in 32 games with him.
That is the obvious reason the Nuggets have cashed five Unders in those eight games.
But it also stems from some unexpected discipline. Denver’s reserves have kept its defense steady, not improving but also not costing the Nuggets.
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks overall malaise has made Unders a common event, cashing their last six and by an average of 11 points per game.
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Nuggets vs Mavericks same-game parlay
Jamal Murray is officially considered questionable tonight, lowering Denver’s possible ceiling but also raising Aaron Gordon’s playmaking duties.
Nuggets vs Mavericks SGP
- Under 224
- Mavericks moneyline
- Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 assists
Our "from downtown" SGP: Hardaway Jr. picks up the slack
Someone has to score for Denver if Jamal Murry and Bruce Brown both end up out on the second night of a back-to-back.
Nuggets vs Mavericks SGP
- Under 224.5
- Mavericks moneyline
- Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 assists
- Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 13.5 points
Nuggets vs Mavericks odds
- Spread: Nuggets +2.5 | Mavericks -2.5
- Moneyline: Nuggets +120 | Mavericks -140
- Over/Under: Over 224 | Under 224
Nuggets vs Mavericks betting trend to know
Even though they have cashed three Overs in Jokic’s absence, totals in Denver’s eight games since his injury have fallen short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 5.75 points per game, including those three Overs. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Mavericks.
How to watch Nuggets vs Mavericks
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| Date | Wednesday, January 14, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Nuggets vs Mavericks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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