Mavericks vs Jazz Picks and Predictions for January 29

Jan 29, 2021 |
Mavericks vs Jazz Picks and Predictions for January 29
Mike Conley's hot start to begin the season should continue against a Mavericks defense that allowed 116 points to Utah on Wednesday.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Mike Conley's hot start to begin the season should continue against a Mavericks defense that allowed 116 points to Utah on Wednesday.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Utah Jazz can make the case they are the best team in the NBA, having won 10 games in a row and at 14-4, own the league’s best record. But more importantly for NBA betting fans, the Jazz have covered the spread in all 10 of those games.

But keeping that streak alive will be tough as they try to beat Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks for the second time in as many games, this time as 4-point home favorites.

Will the streak continue? Check out our NBA free picks and predictions for Mavericks vs. Jazz on January 29 to find out.

Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz Betting Preview

Injuries

Mavericks: Maxi Kleber F (Out). 
Jazz: Donovan Mitchell G (Questionable), Derrick Favors C (Questionable), Trent Forrest G (Out), Elijah Hughes F (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

You mean other than the fact the Jazz have covered 10 in a row? Well, the Mavericks have covered just once in their last five trips to Utah. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Jazz.

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NBA Sharp Money and Line Movement Report

By Patrick Everson

Utah spent the day bouncing between -4 and -3.5 at FanDuel, and as of 7 p.m. ET, the Jazz are back at the opener of -4. The Jazz are landing 63 percent of point-spread tickets and 61 percent of point-spread money. The total rose from 220.5 to 223 by late this afternoon , then receded to 222, with 79 percent of bets/85 percent of cash on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

After a middling 4-4 start to the season, the Jazz have taken the NBA by storm reeling off 10 consecutive wins. But even better is the fact they have covered the spread in each and every one of those games. That includes a 116-104 win as 2-point road favorites last time out against this same Dallas Mavericks team.

The Jazz’s strength in the Quin Snyder era has been their defense and this year is no different. Utah ranks third in defensive rating, third in opponent scoring, and second in opponent field goal percentage. That will play well against a Dallas offense that is struggling to find consistency outside of Luka Doncic.

A year after leading the NBA in offensive rating, the Mavs have dropped to 16th this season, while ranking 20th in points per game and dead last in 3-point shooting percentage. 

However, it is the Jazz offense that has taken them to the next level. Utah now ranks fifth in the NBA in offensive efficiency and offensive rating to go along with their elite defense. That is thanks in large part to the inside-outside game of Rudy Gobert and becoming one of the most effective 3-point shooting teams in the NBA. 

While the Mavs' defense is solid, they will have a huge disadvantage on the glass, ranking 28th in the NBA in rebounding percentage, compared to first for the Jazz. Even though beating a team twice in a row is tough to do, it’s even tougher to fade the Jazz in this spot. The streak continues!

PREDICTION: Jazz -4 (-110)

Over/Under Pick

Let’s talk some more about the Mavericks inconsistency on offense. The Mavs have lost six of their last eight games and in those six losses, they averaged just 104.7 points per contest, while in the two wins they put up 122 and 124 points. Now, they face a Jazz team that limited them to 104 points on 46 percent shooting from the field.

On the other side, the Under has hit six times during the Jazz’s 10 game winning streak, allowing just 101.4 points per game, and just twice in that span did they allow more than 108 points. 

With the Mavs' struggles to find consistent scoring and the fact the Under is 5-1 in their last six games as a road underdog, we like this matchup to fall below the total once again.

PREDICTION: Under 222.5 (-110)

Player Prop Pick

One of the reasons for the Jazz’s offensive improvement has been the play of Mike Conley. His first year with the Jazz had some wondering if Conley’s career was headed on a downward trend, but not anymore. The point guard is averaging 16.6 points per game with an effective field goal percentage of 57, which includes 41.9 percent from 3-point range on 6.9 attempts per game. 

While the Mavericks have some solid perimeter defenders, it didn’t bother Conley too much last game, going 3-8 from beyond the arc. Additionally, Conley has hit three or more threes in each of his last three games, shooting 45.8 percent from deep over that stretch. We’re betting Conley stays hot from deep in this one.

PREDICTION: Mike Conley Over 2.5 Made Threes (-160)

Mavericks vs Jazz Betting Card

  • Jazz -4 (-110)
  • Under 222.5 (-110)
  • Mike Conley Over 2.5 Made Threes (-160)
NBA Parlays

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