Two poor defenses will collide in Sacramento, which should open the game up for both offenses,
The Utah Jazz are somehow still alive in the Western Conference, sitting just a half-game out of the final spot in this year’s play-in tournament. Further up the ladder, the Kings have all but clinched a playoff spot and currently sit comfortably in third place.
Let’s break down how this one should go in our free NBA picks and predictions for Jazz vs. Kings on March 25.
Jazz vs Kings best odds
Jazz vs Kings picks and predictions
It’s pretty hard to get behind the Utah Jazz in this spot, considering the way they’re playing right now. After all, they are below average on both ends of the floor and have lost two straight. With that said, the Jazz' poor defense still brings a lot to the table here from a betting perspective.
The Over has now cashed in nine of Utah’s last 10 games, and the Jazz are allowing 120.5 points per 100 possessions during that span while also playing at the second-fastest pace.
That’s a recipe for many high-scoring games.
The Jazz have been particularly bad against 3-pointers, allowing 36.5% shooting on guarded looks, and the Sacramento Kings average 13.8 threes per game (fifth in the NBA).
We’ll see plenty of running and gunning on display tonight, and I don't think this number has grown high enough.
My best bet: Over 236.5 (-110 at Betway)
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Jazz vs Kings spread analysis
The spread here seems to be the right number, factoring in Utah’s awful play of late and the Kings’ sustained run of dominance. You simply can’t get a much better spot if you’re Sacramento, as it owns an incredibly efficient offense that likes to run and shoot the three and will now meet arguably the coldest defense in the NBA.
So...lay the points, right? Well, it’s not that easy.
The Kings don’t really have anything to play for right now, and the Jazz still have an outside chance of making the playoffs. While they won’t have the benefit of home court this time around, the Jazz did shoot the lights out against a poor defense just five days ago.
Given that meeting and the Kings’ general incompetence on the defensive end, anything can really happen. I’ll be staying away from picking a side on the spread in this one.
Jazz vs Kings Over/Under analysis
The Kings have also seen the Over cash in their last four games, including their last meeting against the Jazz. In fact, the Over has hit in two of the three meetings between these teams.
It shouldn’t surprise you, as we’ve touched on the poor play of both defenses and the up-tempo nature of their offenses.
Additionally, the Kings are leading the NBA in 3-point shooting over the past 10 games at a blistering 40% rate. While Utah is down at 35%, it’s a heck of a lot better than the 31.5% 3-point percentage we saw in the month of February.
The Over is 24-12-1 in Kings' home games and 18-9 in matches where they’re the home favorites. The Over has also gone a stellar 18-8-1 in games where the Jazz were road underdogs and 24-11-1 in all road games for the team.
Jazz vs Kings betting trend to know
The Jazz have been one of the most profitable teams to bet on as an underdog, going 27-11-1 ATS. Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Kings.
Jazz vs Kings game info
|Location:||Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA|
|Date:||Saturday, March 25, 2023|
|Tip-off:||10:00 p.m. ET|