How Many Playoff Games Will the Knicks Win?

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: May 28, 2026 , 04:24 PM ET • 4 min read

A look at how many playoff games the Knicks will win in 2026, via probability markets from Kalshi.

New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson (11).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson (11).

Start spreading the news: the New York Knicks are in the NBA Finals.

While the Western Conference competitors — San Antonio and Oklahoma City — sort themselves out, the Eastern Conference champion Knicks sit with 12 total postseason wins and await their opponent for the Bill O’Brien Trophy.

New York will be an underdog in the NBA Finals, regardless of the opponent, and Kalshi is offering prediction markets on the Knicks’ total number of playoff wins when the smoke settles on the tournament.

Here’s a look at those NBA odds and what market makes the most sense to New York backers.

Knicks How Many Playoff Games Will the Knicks Win?

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Prediction markets have “Yes” 15+ wins listed with a 50% probability, which would get better if the Western Conference Finals go seven games.

The New York Knicks need 16 victories to win the title, and 15 would make it a thrilling seven-game series. We had one of those last year, with the Oklahoma City Thunder edging out the Indiana Pacers in a do-or-die finale.

New York will be the more rested of the two contenders, but barely avoided the “rust” spot in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals after an extended break. The Knicks needed to rally from 22 points down in the fourth quarter to win the series opener, en route to a sweep of the Cleveland Cavaliers.

👍Go New York, Go New York, Go!

If you’re not as ambitious about the Knicks but give them plenty of respect for their postseason play, 14+ wins is trading with “Yes” as a 70% probability at Kalshi. This option pays out if the series goes at least six games, putting weight on the Knicks to win at home.

New York has been excellent in a star-studded Madison Square Garden this spring, owning a 6-1 record in the Mecca while boasting a playoff-best net rating of 16.1 at home.

I like this “Yes” option, as it pays $2 for every $1 investment at the current probabilities and doesn’t need the series to go seven games to win. Most NBA Finals go six games, and the Knicks have the personnel, star power, and coaching to make these matchups competitive.

👎No New York, No New York, No!

If you’re not buying into the Knicks’ postseason run and think whoever comes out of the West will squash a rusty New York squad, then “No” 13+ wins is paying a pretty penny.

This side of the market is essentially picking the Western champs to sweep the NBA Finals, which has occurred just nine times. The last time a title winner broke out the broom in the finals was when Golden State swept Cleveland in 2018.

If that happens to the Knicks in 2026, you’re looking at a current $12 win for every $1 investment. Again, this prediction market will fluctuate based on whether there’s a Game 7 in the WCF.

New York has won all three Game 1 outings so far in the 2026 NBA Playoffs, and the NBA Finals won’t tip off until June 3, putting the Knicks’ red-hot run on ice for more than a week.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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