Our NBA player prop projections are set for a pivotal Game 5 between the Atlanta Hawks and New York Knicks, with the model highlighting several high-value spots.
By comparing the data to current market lines, we’ve pinpointed where the strongest edges are.
These Hawks vs. Knicks predictions are driven by the numbers—not guesswork.
If you’re building your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Tuesday, April 28.
Hawks vs Knicks computer picks for Game 5
 Hawks |
 Knicks |
|---|---|
| Johnson u20.5 points -120 |
Brunson o26.5 points -120 |
| McCollum o3.5 assists -125 |
Towns o11.5 rebounds -105 |
| McCollum o2.5 3-pointers -102 |
Hart o4.5 assists -135 |
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Hawks Game 5 computer picks
Jalen Johnson Under 20.5 points (-120)
Projection: 20.4 points
Facing the New York Knicks’ league-slowest pace over the last 25 games, the Atlanta Hawks should see fewer possessions, which works against Jalen Johnson’s scoring outlook and puts his chances of clearing the Over in jeopardy.
CJ McCollum Over 3.5 assists (-125)
Projection: 3.96 assists
The Hawks’ sixth-fastest road pace this season should create extra opportunities, setting up a favorable spot for CJ McCollum to facilitate after clearing 3.5 assists in six of his last 10 games.
CJ McCollum Over 2.5 3-pointers (-102)
Projection: 2.9 3-pointers
This is a favorable spot for perimeter volume against New York. At home, the Knicks allow the most 3-point attempts per game to opposing starting shooting guards (7.6). And few have punished them more than CJ McCollum, who should carry that same aggressive, Knicks-killer mindset into Game 5.
Knicks Game 5 computer picks
Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 points (-120)
Projection: 26.9 points
Jalen Brunson has cleared 26.5 points in five of his last 10 games, and the setup in Game 5 puts him in a strong position to do it again.
With the series tightening, Brunson’s usage typically climbs in high-leverage spots, and he’s the clear engine of New York’s half-court offense.
He thrives in playoff settings where the pace slows and possessions become more deliberate, allowing him to hunt mismatches and operate in isolation or pick-and-roll.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 rebounds (-130)
Projection: 13.4 rebounds
The Knicks rank third in the NBA in offensive rebounding at home (13.3 per game), putting Karl-Anthony Towns in a prime spot to control the glass and give New York an edge on the boards.
Josh Hart Over 4.5 assists (-135)
Projection: 5.04 assists
The Knicks’ recent surge has been fueled by their heart & energy, with much of it stemming from Josh Hart’s playmaking and especially after clearing 4.5 assists in four of his last 10 games.
Back on their home floor, he’s in a strong spot to make another impact.
How to watch Hawks vs Knicks Game 5
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
| Date | Tuesday, April 28, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Not intended for use in MA.
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