Tyrese Haliburton had a rather ho-hum Game 4.
Scoring 18 points while handing out seven assists is far from bad, but grabbing only two rebounds and turning the ball over five times did not help the Indiana Pacers secure a stranglehold on the NBA Finals. Instead, the Oklahoma City Thunder tied up this series before heading home.
My NBA picks and Tyrese Haliburton picks expect at least one of those bad habits to continue. Game 5’s tip comes at 8:30 ET on Monday, June 16.
Tyrese Haliburton player prop picks
- Best bet
Over 2.5 turnovers
(-155 at bet365) - SGP pick
Over 2.5 turnovers
Over 17.5 points
Over 2.5 threes
(+240 at bet365)
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
Tyrese Haliburton best bet
Tyrese Haliburton Over 2.5 turnovers (-155 at bet365)
This is not glamorous. No one has ever sat at a bar and bragged about cashing a turnover prop in a basketball game, but why not be the first?
It's hardly meant as a criticism of Tyrese Haliburton to point out that he's turned the ball over at least three times in every game of these Finals and at least four times in each of the last three games. Those missteps are simply the reality when facing this Oklahoma City Thunder defense.
Indiana’s options are to either accept those turnovers or take the ball out of Haliburton’s hands. And we all know the Pacers are not going to take the ball out of Haliburton’s hands. That would end this series.
Typically, Haliburton is able to drive and find an open shooter, but against the Thunder, those drives are met by a fleet of swiping hands. Cue turnovers.
The Indiana Pacers would prefer Haliburton not turn the ball over at all, but a few turnovers per game will not be the reason the Pacers fall short in the Finals. They are the cost of doing business against the Thunder, and leaning on Haliburton has gotten Indiana this far.
Tyrese Haliburton same-game parlay
Tyrese Haliburton Over 2.5 turnovers
Tyrese Haliburton Over 17.5 points
Tyrese Haliburton Over 2.5 threes
Haliburton typically responds to lackluster games with solid ones. He strung together back-to-back disappointments in the second round against Cleveland, and then scored 31 points to clinch the series. After a wretched 8-point showing in Game 5 against the Knicks, Haliburton scored 21 with 13 assists to clinch that series.
He cannot clinch the series tonight, but Haliburton should still be a bit more ball-dominant than his usual high level of ball dominance.
Mostly, he should keep shooting from deep. Haliburton’s shot is not the most efficient, both literally and figuratively, but if Indiana is going to spring an upset on the road, it will likely come via someone like Haliburton getting hot from deep. His 4-for-8 showing from beyond the arc in Game 3 spurred that upset, scoring 22 points on 17 shots without taking any free throws.
Obviously, this SGP would have cashed then. It came half a point short of checking that box in Game 2, as well.
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