Knicks vs Spurs Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for Game 1

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 3, 2026 , 01:06 PM ET • 4 min read

Our system sees the Spurs spoiling the Knicks' first trip to Finals in this century with a barrage of threes. See why Julian Champagnie will eclipse his point total tonight, and much more.

San Antonio Spurs NBA Julian Champagnie
Photo By - Reuters Connect. San Antonio Spurs forward Julian Champagnie.

Don't lock in your Knicks vs. Spurs predictions until you've read our NBA player prop projections

Our computer's NBA picks for Game 1 on Wednesday, June 3 are calling for a trio of San Antonio players to top their point totals tonight, led by Julian Champagnie. 

Knicks vs Spurs computer picks for Game 1

Knicks Knicks Spurs Spurs
Hart u1.5 threes
+140
Champagnie o9.5 points
-125
Towns u4.5 assists
-155
Fox o15.5 points
+100
Anunoby u5.5 rebounds
+102
Castle o16.5 points
-102

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Knicks Game 1 computer picks

Josh Hart Under 1.5 threes (+140)

Projection: 1.33 threes

Our computer's lone five-star play of the night is Josh Hart to fall short of his 3-point line at plus-odds, with a +24.98% EV edge.

The New York Knicks SG has missed the Over in six of his last 10, and he plays in a system that's been the seventh-least aggressive when it comes to 3-point attempts across the last 25 games.

🔥 Bet Hart Now at bet365!

Karl-Anthony Towns Under 4.5 assists (-155)

Projection: 3.75 assists

Karl-Anthony Towns' assists have risen steadily since the playoffs started, as he's hit the Over in eight of his last 10. But our computer believes now is the time to sell on the Knicks big man.

Towns has gone Under in two of his last three, and the Knicks have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

🔥 Bet Towns Now at bet365!

OG Anunoby Under 5.5 rebounds (+102)

Projection: 5.37 rebounds

OG Anunoby has gone below this line in four of his last six games, and there's an 8.37% EV edge associated with backing the Under again here.

The San Antonio Spurs have been a tough team to rebound against all year, ranking eighth in opponent boards per game.

🔥 Bet Anunoby Now at bet365!


Spurs Game 1 computer picks

Julian Champagnie Over 9.5 points (-125)

Projection: 11.77 points

Julian Champagnie has beaten this line in six of his last eight overall, and our computer is calling for him to go Over again by more than a full basket.

Our system sees the 3-ball as the key to success for Champagnie.

"This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 47.7% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Knicks, labeling this as a positive matchup."

🔥 Bet Champagnie Now at bet365!

De'Aaron Fox Over 15.5 points (+100)

Projection: 16.55 points

De'Aaron Fox was playing hurt and was most neutralized by the Oklahoma City Thunder, going below his points prop in all five games he played in the Western Conference Finals. But our system has identified multiple angles that suggest Fox can bounce back.

"Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 4th-best in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.. This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.3 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Knicks, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line."

🔥 Bet Fox Now at bet365!

Stephon Castle Over 16.5 points (-102)

Projection: 17.67 points

Another Spurs points prop, another four-star Over play for our computer. This one comes out to a 15.65% EV edge.

Stephon Castle should make it rain on the Knicks from downtown tonight.

"The matchup against the Knicks is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.7%)."

🔥 Bet Castle Now at bet365!

How to watch Knicks vs Spurs Game 1

Location Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Date Wednesday, June 3, 2026
Tip-off 8:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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