Tonight's Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors matchup gives us plenty to work with, and our best NBA player prop projections offer a handful of player props with real value.
We’re focusing strictly on where the projections create separation from the betting line.
Here are our top Clippers vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Monday, March 2.
Clippers vs Warriors computer picks for March 2
 Clippers |
 Warriors |
|---|---|
| Garland o12.5 points +100 |
Horford o5.5 rebounds <<-+115>> |
| Leonard u27.5 points -110 |
Green o8.5 points -115 |
| Jones u1.5 assists -150 |
Melton o15.5 points -112 |
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Clippers computer picks
Darius Garland Over 12.5 points (+100)
Projection: 14.6 points
Darius Garland doesn’t need to go nuclear to clear this number. The model has him nearly two points over the line, which gives us a solid cushion at even money. With steady usage and normal minutes, this is a very reachable scoring total.
Kawhi Leonard Under 27.5 points (-110)
Projection: 25.5 points
Kawhi Leonard can always pop for 30, but the projection keeps him a couple of buckets below this line. The scoring load is spread out enough that he doesn’t need to carry everything. At 27.5, we’re betting on efficiency without a ceiling game. Under makes sense.
Derrick Jones Jr. Under 1.5 assists (-150)
Projection: 1.3 assists
Derrick Jones Jr. isn’t out there to facilitate. His role is to defend, run the floor, and finish plays — not create them. The model has him landing below two assists, which lines up with his typical usage. You’re laying juice, but the role supports the Under.
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Warriors computer picks
Al Horford Over 5.5 rebounds (+115)
Projection: 6.1 rebounds
Al Horford still knows how to find the ball. The projection clears this number, and at plus money, we don’t need a monster night. If the minutes hold, six boards is a very realistic value.
Draymond Green Over 8.5 points (+115)
Projection: 9.9 points
Draymond Green isn’t a volume scorer, but he doesn’t need to be. The model has him at a bucket over this number, and he’ll get chances in transition and off cuts. At plus money, that’s enough of an edge to play.
De'Anthony Melton Over 15.5 points (-112)
Projection: 17.2 points
De'Anthony Melton gets up shots when he’s on the floor. The projection has him comfortably above this line, and if he’s hitting from deep, this clears quickly. With the role and volume in place, the Over is justified.
How to watch Clippers vs Warriors tonight
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Monday, March 2, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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