Celtics vs Bucks Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Can Milwaukee Right the Ship?

With the Celtics set for the postseason, there is little reason for Boston to deploy its starters for the full four quarters against the Bucks. With Milwaukee in free-fall, this is an opportunity to get right, even if it is against a skeleton crew.

Apr 8, 2024 • 13:53 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics will bring their talents to Fiserv Forum on Tuesday as they face Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks, and we have searched through the NBA odds to find you the best bet for this matchup.

Is it too late for the Milwaukee Bucks to make a third head coaching change this season? Doc Rivers holds a 15-17 record as the Bucks' head coach since replacing Adrian Griffin, who led the team to a 30-13 mark to open the season.

ABC didn't need to add JJ Redick to the NBA Finals broadcast as Rivers should be available to work in the booth at the beginning of June given how the Bucks' season is trending.

The Bucks are reeling, but that doesn't mean they are an automatic fade with my best bet. Find out which bet I'm backing in my free NBA picks for Celtics vs. Bucks on Tuesday, April 9th.

Celtics vs Bucks odds

Celtics vs Bucks predictions

The Milwaukee Bucks have lost four straight and are only one game up on the Orlando Magic for the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference. Not only have the Bucks dropped four in a row, but three of those games were against the Washington Wizards, Memphis Grizzlies, and Toronto Raptors.

The Bucks were double-digit favorites in all three of those losses, and it will be a much different opponent on Tuesday as they take on the Boston Celtics, who have the best record in the NBA. Naturally, I'm taking the Bucks on the moneyline, which doesn't make much sense on the surface, so let me explain the angle.

The Celtics have everything wrapped up with nothing to play for this final week. I expect the Celtics to rest some players against the Bucks. Who that will be is still to be determined, but even if they do play their starters, they won't be pushing big minutes, even if the game is close. There's a clear emphasis on keeping the players engaged in games but having their minutes hover in that 27-30-minute window.

On Sunday, the Celtics were only up eight points in the fourth quarter, and Joe Mazzulla used a full bench lineup in the final frame. Also, if you're the Celtics, why even put anything on film for the Bucks in a game that doesn't have any meaning? Let the Bucks empty the playbook because they need wins, but why would you reciprocate with the playoffs right around the corner?

If this were the NBA playoffs and the Bucks were a 1-point home favorite over the Celtics, I would 100% be backing the Celtics at those odds, but Tuesday's game is a much different scenario. I also think you will see the spread move toward the Bucks and make them a bigger favorite once the Celtics release their injury report, so there is an advantage to getting this -105 moneyline price in your pocket early.

My best bet: Bucks moneyline (-105 at BetMGM)

Celtics vs Bucks same-game parlay

Bucks moneyline

Bucks team total Over 114.5

Bucks race to 25 points - 4th quarter

The Celtics are a solid defensive unit with some of the best perimeter defenders in the NBA in Derrick White and Jrue Holiday. But, once again, I don't expect these players to play big minutes on Tuesday, and there's also a chance they don't show Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard how they plan to guard them in the postseason. 

Recently, Mazzulla continuously allowed Kristaps Porzingis to guard Dejounte Murray one-on-one against the Atlanta Hawks just for practice. With how the Celtics are managing minutes down the stretch, I like the Over 114.5 team total for the Bucks.

The Celtics are keeping their minutes down by simply having the starters forego their fourth-quarter shift. The Celtics aren't necessarily decreasing their minutes throughout the entire game to have them land in that window of 27-30 minutes.

With that being said, I'm adding the Bucks to win the race to 25+ points in the fourth quarter. There's a very real possibility the Bucks' starters will be facing an entire bench unit in the fourth quarter, regardless of the score.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Celtics vs Bucks spread and Over/Under analysis

The Bucks opened as a 1-point favorite at FanDuel, and that is where they continue to trade. Likely, we won't see any movement in this number until we receive more clarity on the injury reports for both teams and if the Celtics plan to rest any players.

The total opened at 226.5 at FanDuel, and we have seen that number move one point towards the Over, as it is now trading at 227.5 at FanDuel. The total is even higher at several other sportsbooks, as some shops are trading it at 228.5. Make sure to shop around before hitting the button on either the Over or the Under in this market.

Celtics vs Bucks betting trend to know

The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 71 games (+24.95 Units / 30% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Celtics vs. Bucks.

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Celtics vs Bucks game info

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Tuesday, April 8, 2024
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET

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