The Atlanta Hawks are one of the best bets on their homecourt in the NBA, taking a 25-13 ATS record as hosts into Game 3 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series against the Philadelphia 76ers on Friday.
After Philadelphia evened this series a 1-1 with a 118-102 victory Tuesday, the NBA betting odds have installed the 76ers as slight road favorites inside State Farm Arena. Road favorites have lived up to the oddsmakers’ hype in the 2021 NBA Playoffs, going 10-3 ATS heading into this contest.
Check out our free NBA picks and predictions for 76ers vs. Hawks on June 11.
76ers vs Hawks game info
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
• Date: Thursday, June 11, 2021
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
76ers vs Hawks odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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NBA Sharp Money and Line Movement Report
By Patrick EversonPhiladelphia hit TwinSpires' odds board as a 1-point favorite and spent much of today bouncing between -1.5 and -2. As of 4:45 p.m. ET, the line is 76ers -1.5, with Philly attracting 62 percent of tickets and 65 percent of money. The total moved from 223.5 to 225 to 224.5, with 74 percent of tickets/69 percent of dollars on the Over.
Check out the full line movement for this game76ers vs Hawks series odds
76ers: -230
Hawks: +190
76ers vs Hawks betting preview
Injuries
76ers: None.
Hawks: DeAndre Hunter F (Out), Cam Reddish F (Questionable), Kris Dunn G (Questionable).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 14-6 in 76ers’ last 20 road games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for 76ers vs. Hawks.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
The Sixers knew they would have to match the depth of the Hawks if they were to avoid an 0-2 hole heading to the ATL. Philadelphia’s role players stepped up big in Game 2, with Seth Curry putting up 21 points and Shake Milton adding 14 points off the pine. But can that support staff show up on the road?
We know the 76ers’ standouts will come with it in Game 3. Joel Embiid is having his way inside and the size of Tobias Harris and Ben Simmons is presenting problems when those girthy guards take smaller Hawks defenders down low.
However, Philadelphia’s perimeter play may not be as good as its 40-percent clip would indicate. If you take Milton and Curry’s contributions out of the mix (combined 14 for 20 from 3-point range), the rest of the Sixers are shooting a painful 8 for 35 from beyond the arc — just under 23 percent from long range. With 3-point shooting that poor, you’re asking a lot from two role players in a road playoff game.
As for the Hawks, the loss of De’Andre Hunter was a hit before the start of the series, but this team knows how to play without him – and others – since Nate McMillan took over the coaching reigns in March. Atlanta’s offense is relentless, with multiple options and a bench posting 41.5 points per game in this series. Atlanta shot better than 40 percent from outside in the two games in Philly and returns to a home court where it had the seventh-best mark in the NBA from beyond the arc.
Hot starts have been the calling card for this Hawks squad in the postseason, with Game 2 being the only time they trailed at the break all playoffs (behind 57-55). If they can start fast again in the opening 24 minutes of Game 3, that will force the 76ers to abandon their interior attacks and look to long range in order to play catch-up.
The Hawks have failed to cover just six times in their last 26 home stands and are 5-2 ATS the last seven times they caught points on their own floor.
PREDICTION: Atlanta +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under pick
Unlike the Wizards, who relied on transition buckets to score points, the Hawks can hurt you in a number of ways. That said, they do want to push the tempo of this game and put the bigger Philadelphia defenders on their heels, not allowing the 76ers to get set.
The Game 1 tempo did exactly that, with Atlanta thriving in transition in the opening 24 minutes before the Sixers slowed it down and fought back from a 26-point hole. The Game 2 pace was considerably slower, watching the rating dip to 97.5.
With Embiid dominating inside, shooting 54.6 percent for the series, the Hawks are forced to inbound the ball on many offensive possessions rather than turn-and-burn in transition. Atlanta has to throw more bodies at Embiid in Game 3, forcing the ball to get kicked back out to the shaky shooting of Philadelphia’s perimeter players.
The total opened at 223.5 points, which I feel is pretty spot on, but has since risen to 224.5 with 75 percent of early play on the Over. Game 2’s scoring pace was more indicative of how this series should roll out, compared to the wild swings of Game 1, and that final score stayed Under the 225.5-point number with room to spare.
PREDICTION: Under 224.5 (-110)
Player prop pick
Trae Young’s struggles played a part in the Hawks’ Game 2 loss, with the sharp-shooting guard making just 6 of 16 shots, including a 1-for-7 effort from beyond the arc. He finished with 21 points and four turnovers but did dish out 11 assists.
Atlanta doesn’t need Young to drop 40 a game to keep pace with Philadelphia, but it does need him to create offense with the threat of that scoring touch. So far this postseason, Young is averaging 10 assists per game and has posted double-figure dimes in four of his seven 2021 playoff contests.
The size of Harris and Simmons can make it tough to get open shots, but Young is able to speed past those checks, get into the paint, and collapse the Sixers defense to find open shooters on the wing. I like “Ice Trae” to continue to create while bouncing back from a poor shooting effort now that the series has swung to Atlanta.
PREDICTION: Trae Young points + assists Over 36.5 (-110)
76ers vs Hawks betting card
- Atlanta +1.5 (-110)
- Under 224.5 (-110)
- Trae Young points + assists Over 36.5 (-110)
Picks made on 6/10/2021 at 9:40 a.m. ET
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