🏁eero 400: Key takeaways
- Best pre-qualifying bet: Ryan Blaney (+1000) — getting overlooked despite solid recent form.
- Best pre-qualifying value: Michael McDowell (+295) over Chase Elliott — risky, but can't pass up the price.
- Best pre-qualifying prop bet: Ty Gibbs Top 5 (+185) — rounding back into form ahead of Chicagoland debut.
- Track: Tire management will be key on a worn, bumpy surface.
- Weather: Strong chance of thunderstorms.
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eero 400 odds: Favorites & full field
The eero 400 runs at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, July 5 on TNT. Below are the latest outright odds, followed by the picks and market-by-market best bets we like this week.
| Driver |  |
|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +320 |
| Tyler Reddick | +550 |
| Kyle Larson | +600 |
| Christopher Bell | +850 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1000 |
| Chase Briscoe | +1200 |
| William Byron | +1200 |
| Chase Elliott | +1200 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1400 |
| Chris Buescher | +2200 |
| Carson Hocevar | +2500 |
| Bubba Wallace | +2800 |
| Joey Logano | +3000 |
| Brad Keselowski | +4500 |
| Ross Chastain | +5500 |
| Erik Jones | +5500 |
| Corey Heim | +5500 |
| Daniel Suarez | +5500 |
| Austin Cindric | +6500 |
| Alex Bowman | +7000 |
Odds as of 7-3.
Check out the full eero 400 field.
Best bets card (updated Saturday)
- Outright: Ryan Blaney (+1000)
- Top 5: Ty Gibbs (+185)
- Matchup: Michael McDowell (+295) over Chase Elliott
Who's hot? Who's not?
- 🔥 Kyle Larson — Top 5 in four straight races.
- ❄️ Daniel Suarez — Just one Top 10 in his last five races.
Track breakdown: What wins at Chicagoland Speedway?
- You'll see more cars riding the wall at Chicagoland Speedway than at most other 1.5-mile ovals, at least in Turns 1-2.
- There are notable bumps in Turns 3 and 4, so most cars will hug the white line and not risk spinning out.
Key stats & driver profiles to target
- Kyle Busch is the only driver to win the pole and the race (2008) at Chicagoland.
- Ford has only won this race once (Brad Keselowski, 2014).
Drivers to watch
- Kyle Larson (6.2) is the active leader in average finish at Chicagoland.
Odds movement & market notes
- Qualifying could play an even bigger part than usual in shaping the final odds, given there hasn't been a Cup Series race here in six years. Chase Elliott may see some action on race day, as he's the active leader in starting position here (9.5).
- Chris Buescher is on the opposite end of the spectrum (24.3).
Outright picks: Winners to bet
Pick: Ryan Blaney (+1000)
Blaney can turn his solid, steady form into a trip to Victory Lane.
- Track Fit: Sixth in average rating across the last 40 intermediate races.
- Recent Form: Top 10 in five straight.
- Market Value: +800 is acceptable.
Risk: Just one win all season.
Pick made on Saturday, 7-4.
Best Top 5 bets
Pick: Ty Gibbs Top 5 (+185)
Fresh off a Top 5 at Sonoma.
- Track Fit: Four Top 10s at similar intermediate ovals in 2026.
- Recent Form: Seven Top 5s this season.
- Market Value: +150 is my limit.
Risk: Has never raced at Chicagoland.
Pick made on Saturday, 7-4.
Best matchup & head-to-head bets
Pick: Michael McDowell (+295) over Chase Elliott
Playable to +240.
- Matchup Advantage: Elliott has only one Top 10 in his last seven races.
- Key Stat: Excluding a wreck at Michigan, McDowell has a 10.7 average finish over his last seven races.
Risk: Elliott's overall Cup Series resume is far superior.
Pick made on Saturday, 7-4.
How to watch the eero 400
| Location: | Chicagoland Speedway, Joliet, IL |
| Date: | Sunday, July 5, 2026 |
| Start time: | 6 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TNT |
Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 eero 400.
Chicagoland Speedway weather
There are elevated thunderstorm chances all weekend long, including Sunday night. There's a 65% PoP at race time.
Previous eero 400 winners
| Year | Winner | Manufacturer |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Alex Bowman | Chevrolet |
| 2018 | Kyle Busch | Toyota |
| 2017 | Martin Truex Jr. | Toyota |
| 2016 | Martin Truex Jr. | Toyota |
| 2015 | Denny Hamlin | Toyota |
eero 400 betting FAQ
When is the 2026 eero 400?
The eero 400 will take place at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, July 5.
Where will the 2026 eero 400 be held?
Chicagoland Speedway in Joliet, IL will host the eero 400.
Who is the 2026 eero 400 favorite?
Denny Hamlin is the eero 400 favorite.
Who won the eero 400 last year?
Chicagoland Speedway hasn't hosted a NASCAR Cup Series race since 2019, when Alex Bowman took the checkered flag.
How do eero 400 prop bets work?
In addition to outright win bets, many sportsbooks take action on Top 3, 5, and 10 finishes, as well as driver vs. driver props.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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