Yankees vs Blue Jays Picks: Bet On the Under, Despite Struggling SPs

Apr 14, 2021 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Picks: Bet On the Under, Despite Struggling SPs
The Blue Jays offense has been inconsistent but it's shown some flashes of potency lately—unlike the bats for the Yankees, who Toronto faces again Wednesday afternoon.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
The Blue Jays offense has been inconsistent but it's shown some flashes of potency lately—unlike the bats for the Yankees, who Toronto faces again Wednesday afternoon.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

This latest series between the New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays has been dominated by each team’s respective ace. Gerrit Cole led the Yankees to a victory in Game 1 while Hyun-jin Ryu took over last night.

So, what will the rubber match bring us when mortal men take the mound as Corey Kluber toes the rubber against T.J. Zeuch in the series finale—and where is the MLB betting value?

Check out our free MLB picks and predictions for Yankees vs. Blue Jays on Wednesday, April 14, with the first pitch scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET.

Yankees vs Blue Jays odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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MLB sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

New York went up as a -126 favorite Tuesday night at FanDuel, bounced up to -138 and down to -116, then stretched to -146, where the moneyline is at 12:45 p.m. ET. The Yankees are drawing 75 percent of bets and 85 percent of money. The total moved from 10.5 to 10 a couple of times and is now 10.5 (Under -114), with 59 percent of bets on the Under and 53 percent of money on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Yankees vs Blue Jays betting preview

Starting pitchers

Corey Kluber (0-1, 5.68 ERA): Kluber is still trying to find his groove after his first two starts in pinstripes. This should be expected, considering he hadn't pitched a full game since May 2019 prior to this season. So far this year, the former Cy Young Award winner has battled his command and his famous sinker has lost a lot of its bite, resulting in an ugly 2.37 WHIP.

T.J. Zeuch (0-1, 3.68 ERA): At 6-foot-7, Zeuch is an imposing figure on the mound. Now, he just needs his pitches to match his figure and he’ll be all set. Zeuch has been used as a piggy-back starter this season with the injuries to the Jays’ rotation and is coming off a rough outing against the Angels but scattered three hits across four shutout innings in a start against the Yankees on April 4. 


The forecast in Dunedin is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the low-80s this afternoon. There will be a 10 mph wind coming in from right field as well. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Yankees: Miguel Andujar LF (Out), Luke Voit 1B (Out), Zack Britton RP (Out).
Blue Jays: David Phelps RP (Questionable), Julian Merryweather RP (Out), George Springer CF (Out), Teoscar Hernandez OF (Out), Tyler Chatwood RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 6-1 in the Yankees' last seven games with a total set between 9.0 and 10.5, while the Under is 5-0 in the Blue Jays' last five games as an underdog. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Blue Jays.

Moneyline pick

The Yankees took Game 1 by a 3-1 margin, carried by a strong Gerrit Cole outing and a pair of Kyle Higashioka home runs. But the Blue Jays responded with a 7-3 win yesterday, thanks to another great performance from Ryu while the lineup was able to jump on Jameson Taillon. So, what can we expect in Game 3?

Well, this was supposed to be a pitching rematch of a game back on April 3—a game which the Yankees took 5-3. We say "supposed to" because the original starter was Ross Stripling, but he was scratched 90 minutes prior to first pitch. Back in that April 3 win, Kluber went four innings and gave up two runs on five hits and three walks.

The difference since that game is that the Jays don’t look as lost at the plate as the Yankees do recently. The not-so Bronx Bombers have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last six games and are hitting just .208 over the last week.

The Blue Jays’ offense, on the other hand, seems a little more boom-or-bust, but at least they have shown some boom at times. With the pitchers being a wash (not in a good way), the Jays show some decent value as a slight home underdog.

PREDICTION: Blue Jays (+115)

Over/Under pick

The total for this American League East matchup is in the double digits and that isn’t surprising when you consider the two starters in this game. But that still may be a little high.

While both starters have struggled early this season, they both play for teams with strong bullpens and have managers willing to pull the trigger early if things aren’t going well.

The Yankees arguably have the best bullpen in baseball and that’s still with Zack Britton on the IL. The New York relievers own a 1.84 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, and are limiting opponents to a very low .153 batting average.

The Jays aren’t too shabby in that department either, with a 2.53 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .219 opponent batting average. The bet here is the scoring will come early and then slow down late as two rested bullpens take over. Take 10.5 if you can, but buy the half-point to play it safe.

PREDICTION: Under 10.5 (-120)

Yankees vs Blue Jays betting card

  • Blue Jays (+115)
  • Under 10.5 (-120)

Picks made on 4/14/2021 at 10:38 a.m. ET

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks, you could win $29.42 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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