Yankees vs Angels Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

The New York Yankees offense is cruising along and should make life hell for Jack Kochanowicz tonight.

Chris Hatfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Hatfield • Betting Analyst
May 26, 2025 • 14:48 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Jack Kochanowicz Los Angeles Angels MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Los Angeles Angels pitcher Jack Kochanowicz on the mound.

The New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels will get a series going on this Memorial Day night.

The Yankees have been surging with an 8-2 record over their last 10 games. We expect their offense to continue to perform against an Angels team that's also been hot lately despite back-to-back losses.

My Angels vs. Yankees predictions break it down here as I bring you my MLB picks when the two teams meet Monday, May 26.

Yankees vs Angels prediction

My Yankees vs Angels best bet: Jack Kochanowicz Under 16.5 outs (-133 at Caesars)

It figures to be a bumpy evening for Los Angeles Angels hurler Jack Kochanowicz, who faces a New York Yankees team that continues to produce offense on a nightly basis, even more so against average to below-average pitchers. 

With his mix of youth, hard-hit issues, and 5+ run-plus ERA, I'd firmly put the righty in that often-attacked category of middling starting pitchers. Because of this, I expect him to be run out of this game rather quickly, and I'm grabbing the Under 16.5 outs prop as my best bet.

A good starting point for any put-out handicap is the projected pitch count for the starting pitcher. Today, BAT X says that the number for Kochanowicz is around 85 — the third-lowest projection of the day. That feels like a fair number, too. 

He averaged 93 pitches in May, and while the 104-pitch outing against the Dodgers did catch eyes, he tended to hang in the 80 to 90-pitch count area against the better offenses in the sport. He definitely will see one of those tonight.

As a ground-ball pitcher, Kochanowicz faces a tough matchup against the Yankees, which ranks sixth-lowest in ground-ball rate. Beyond the flunky nature of the matchup against L.A., teams with similar profiles have exploited him. Just look at the Rangers, an inconsistent offense that still managed to chase him after 4 2/3 innings and score four runs. I expect comparable success for the Yankees.

Outside of that, the Bronx Bombers' improved discipline at the plate poses another hurdle. Surprisingly, they now own the lowest swing rate in the majors, a marked change from a season ago. Kochanowicz's wobbly control — evident in his last start against Oakland, where he threw only 56 strikes out of 99 pitches and lasted four innings — could amplify this issue.

The Yankees' patient approach can challenge him to throw strikes, something he hasn't shown the ability to do consistently lately. I made the fair price on this -150 and would play it down to that number.

Caesars QuickPick: Our Yankees vs Angels same-game parlay (SGP)

Jack Kochanowics Under 3.5 strikeouts

Yankees first-five moneyline

Anthony Volpe Over 1.5 total bases

We've had to get creative since you cannot use our best bet in a Caesars SGP. Instead, we used the Under strikeouts with a similar handicap: New York's patience at the plate will make this difficult.

The first-five moneyline ties directly into that. It's strongly correlated to our best bet, but I felt there was still value in pairing it with our best bet, with my fair price being closer to +188 with the two paired together.

Lastly, we finished things off with Anthony Volpe. Rather quickly, the young slugger has been the third-best hitter against the sinker this season among Yankees players, and he'll see a ton of them tonight. The fair price on this prop was closer to a coin flip, so I happily added it at +116.

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Yankees vs Angels odds

Yankees vs Angels live odds

Yankees vs Angels opening odds

  • Moneyline: New York -161 | Los Angeles +135
  • Run line: New York -1.5 (-105) | Los Angeles +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5

Odds courtesy of Caesars.

Yankees vs Angels trend

The Yankees have cashed the Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.82 units / 26% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Angels.

How to watch Yankees vs Angels and game info

Location Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA
Date Monday, 5-26-2025
First pitch 9:38 p.m. ET
TV YES, FanDuel Sports Network West
Yankees starting pitcher Ryan Yarbrough
(1-0, 3.38 ERA)
Angels starting pitcher Jack Kochanowicz
(3-5, 5.03 ERA)

Yankees vs Angels latest injuries

Yankees vs Angels weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Hatfield - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach.

His work has been featured on various websites such as SBNation, Rivals, Bleacher Report, and 247Sports. He has appeared on radio outlets such as ESPN 680 and The Sharp 600 podcast. You can listen to his own podcast, “What High School Did You Go To?” on Apple Podcast and Soundcloud.

Chris has carved out a niche as a college basketball originator with massive profitability success in that sport and stresses one piece of advice to sports bettors: exploit edges as broadly as possible and take advantage of them while they last. His preferred sportsbook is bet365 because of the range of markets you can find.

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