It may not be the final we expected, but the last game of the World Baseball Classic will still be a great matchup filled with intrigue when Venezuela takes on the USA.
Venezuela is riding high after knocking out Japan and Italy, while the USA has silenced critics with its massive win over the Dominican Republic.
My Venezuela vs. USA predictions and World Baseball picks break down this epic final on Tuesday, March 17.
Venezuela vs USA prediction
Venezuela vs USA best bet: Venezuela +1.5 (+105 at DraftKings)
What a contrast in starting pitchers.
Venezuela hands the ball to veteran lefty Eduardo Rodriguez while the USA counters with Mets top pitching prospect Nolan McLean.
I don’t expect either starter to go too long, as this will be a battle of bullpens. With David Bednar unavailable for the Americans, Venezuela has a slight edge.
Andres Machado, Angel Zerpa, Jose Butto, and Daniel Palencia haven't allowed a run in a combined 18 1/3 innings with 23 strikeouts.
I like Acuna & Co. to jump on the young McLean early and keep this game tight and exciting throughout.
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Venezuela vs USA same-game parlay (SGP)
Venezuela +1.5
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI
Maikel Garcia Over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI
Kyle Schwarber hasn’t been hitting bombs like we’ve been used to in this tournament, but that doesn’t mean he hasn’t been hitting. The American slugger is 8-for-22 with a .500 OBP and has scored six runs in the WBC.
On the other side, Maikel Garcia has been the table setter for this Venezuela lineup and leads the WBC in hits, while driving in six runs and scoring five more.
Tournament MVP prop picks
Mason Miller (+2500 at DraftKings)
It is unclear whether Miller will be available for this game, but if he closes out another win in the same dominant fashion, he'll get some consideration. He's the most unhittable pitcher in baseball.
Maikel Garcia (+1800 at DraftKings)
If Venezuela pulls off the upset, Garcia is going to get some MVP votes. Not only does he lead the WBC in hits, but he's also driven in six runs and scored five himself. MVP stuff.
Venezuela vs USA opening odds
- Moneyline: Venezuela +215 | USA -275
- Run line: Venezuela +1.5 (+105) | USA -1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
How to watch Venezuela vs USA and game info
| Location | LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL |
| Date | Tuesday, March 17, 2026 |
| First pitch | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
| Venezuela starting pitcher | Eduardo Rodriguez |
| USA starting pitcher | Nolan McLean |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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