Venezuela vs USA Home Run Picks for the World Baseball Classic Finals

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 17, 2026 , 02:03 PM ET • 4 min read

There is a lot of star power in the World Baseball Classic final between Venezuela and the USA, so we've got some home run predictions for tonight's WBC finale.

Alex Bregman USA World Baseball Classic
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Alex Bregman runs off the field after making a play in the World Baseball Classic.

The final of the World Baseball Classic is stacked with star power. And speaking of power, don’t be shocked if we see a few home runs when Venezuela takes on the United States.

Aaron Judge, Ronald Acuna Jr., and Kyle Schwarber are the big bomber names, but who are the best bets to hit some dingers in what should be an epic WBC final? Check out my home run picks below.

And for even more World Baseball Classic picks, check out my Venezuela vs. USA predictions.

Venezuela home run pick

Ronald Acuna Jr. (+550 at DraftKings)

There are some great power hitters on Team Venezuela — Eugenio Suárez and Sal Perez just to name a few — but the best pure power swing on this team still belongs to Ronald Acuna Jr.

What makes the Venezuelan’s star center fielder so dangerous is he’s got easy power to all parts of the field. He’s already gone deep twice in the WBC, and I love this value for him to go yard once again.

Acuna Jr. faces American starter Nolan McLean. The Mets' top pitching prospect began his MLB career with an impressive eight-game stretch at the end of last summer, but one guy who burned him was Acuna — who took him deep in an August 22 meeting. 

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USA home run pick

Alex Bregman (+425 at DraftKings)

It's been some of the young guns like Gunnar Henderson, Roman Anthony, and PCA that have powered the Americans to the final, but I’m betting on an old guard to go deep tonight.

One, the final seems like a spot for a veteran to step up. Two, the other thing those guys have in common is they’re lefty bats.

With that in mind, I expect Alex Bregman to get the start against Venezuela starter Eduardo Rodriguez, who, you guessed it, is a lefty.

Bregman also has solid career numbers vs. Rodriguez, going 9-for-27 with three home runs and a 1.160 OPS.

How to watch Venezuela vs USA and game info

Location LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
Date Tuesday, March 17, 2026
First pitch 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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