The Minnesota Twins come to T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners in the first of three games. Minnesota just took two of three from the Tampa Bay Rays, and Seattle dropped two of three against the Boston Red Sox.
Minny pitcher Chris Archer and Seattle hurler Chris Flexen will take the mound on Monday, and though both have losing records, they have pitched better than their records indicate.
Who gets the opener of the series between these two sides? Take a look at what we think with our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Twins vs. Mariners on June 13.
Twins vs Mariners odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Mariners opened at -120 and it knocked it up to -125, though some books have them at -118. The Twins began at +100 and also went up with WynnBET sporting the best odds for them at +108. The total has stayed at 8.5 with the Over at -115 and the Under at +105.
Twins vs Mariners predictions
Picks made on 6/13/2022 at 2:04 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Twins vs Mariners game info
• Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
• Date: Monday, June 13, 2022
• First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
• TV: ROOT Sports Northwest, Bally Sports North
Twins vs Mariners betting preview
Chris Archer (1-2, 3.65 ERA): After numerous injuries, Archer appears to be back in the form that many thought would make him a premier pitcher. The 33-year-old right-hander has allowed one run in five of his 11 games this season. His last appearance was against the New York Yankees and Archer shut down one of the most potent offenses in baseball. In five innings, he allowed one run on two hits, striking out two and walking four.
Chris Flexen (2-7, 4.36 ERA): Look at Flexen’s record and the seven losses stand out. It’s the fourth most among pitchers in the major leagues. There is no doubt the 27-year-old right-hander has allowed runs, as he has two games where he gave up five or more. Flexen, though, is a victim of run support. In his seven losses, the team managed to score more than two runs just once, and in four of those defeats, the Mariners were shut out.
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Twins: Sonny Gray SP (Out), Royce Lewis SS (Out), Danny Coulombe RP (Out), Joe Ryan SP (Out), Kyle Garlick CF (Out), Josh Winder SP (Out), Chris Paddack SP (Out), Miguel Sano 3B (Out), Jorge Alcala RP (Out).
Mariners: Ken Giles RP (Out), Tom Murphy C (Out), Kyle Lewis CF (Out), Mitch Haniger RF (Out), Evan White 1B (Out), Casey Sadler RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Twins are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Mariners
Twins vs Mariners picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
These two teams opened the season against each other and both won two of the four games. The Twins, however, have gone up a level, taking over the American League Central.
Minnesota has an underrated offense. It is fourth in on-base percentage at .326, fifth in hits at 522, sixth in batting average at .263, sixth in slugging percentage at .413, ninth in runs at 278, and eighth in RBI at 266.
It is also eighth in home runs with 73. Byron Buxton has been a beast at the plate, knocking 17 balls out of the park — third best in the majors. He also has 30 RBI, three behind team-leader Jorge Polanco. They are part of 11 Twins' players that have double-digit RBI.
The Mariners are not bad for a fourth-place team, but they can’t compare to the Twins. The team is no higher than 13th (homers) in any offensive statistic category.
Minnesota is coming off Sunday’s loss against the Tampa Bay Rays and is 4-0 in its last four when losing the game before. It is also 5-1 in its last six Monday games.
Mariners' pitcher Chris Flexen faced the Twins in April and allowed three runs on five hits in 4.1 innings leading to his first loss of the season. I don’t think he’s winning the rematch.
Prediction: Twins moneyline (+108 at WynnBET)
Minnesota is adept at scoring runs. The team is ninth in runs scored, and though they are eighth in the league in home runs, they don’t rely solely on the long ball to get runners across the plate.
The Twins are in the Top 10 in just about every offensive category. One stat that is telling is doubles, in which they are fifth. Getting runners in scoring position, or knocking them home from second base has helped score runs as well.
It will be up to Chris Flexen to keep Minnesota from scoring runs, but the righty has struggled at times — allowing 20 runs in his last six games.
The Twins have scored six or more runs in five of their last seven games, with the Over going 7-1-1 in the their last nine road games against a right-handed starter.
The Mariners also favor the Over trend, as it is 5-0 that way in their last five games following a loss, and 4-0 when they scored two or fewer runs in the previous game.
Prediction: Over 8.5 (-115 at WynnBET)
When these teams faced each other in April, Chris Flexen took the mound in the finale of the three-game series. Ironically, it was also on a Monday.
Flexen gave up five hits on that day before he was pulled in the fifth inning. Two of them were at the hands of Jorge Polanco, who finished with a double and single.
Polanco has 10 doubles on the year, adding seven home runs to his 53 hits. He has 216 at bats and a .245 batting average partnered with a .340 on-base percentage.
There is no reason Flexen won’t give up a couple of hits to Polanco and at +135 odds, it is a good value bet.
Pick: Jorge Polanco total bases Over 1.5 (+135)
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