Vinnie Pasquantino is in the midst of a huge power surge. He has homered in five of his last 10 games and averaged 3.3 total bases along the way.
My Tigers vs. Royals predictions expect Pasquantino’s power to be on full display against Chris Paddack.
Let’s break things down further with MLB picks for Friday, August 29.
Tigers vs Royals prediction
Tigers vs Royals best bet: Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Vinnie Pasquantino has teed off on right-handed pitching this season. He is sporting a .278 average with a .227 ISO and 41 extra base hits.
He stands a good chance of adding to that total Friday night. Pasquantino draws an advantageous matchup against Chris Paddack, who owns a 4.98 ERA and has allowed more than 50 extra base hits on the year.
Pasquantino hasn’t seen much of Paddack, but is 2-5 with a double and a homer. He’s generated a lot of power over a small sample, which checks out given Paddack’s pitch mix.
Paddack leans most heavily on the fastball, changeup, and curveball against left-handed hitters. Pasquantino has combined to hit 12 homers against the fastball and changeup. He’s also hit .303 vs. the curveball, one of his highest averages of any pitch.
There are a lot of ways for Pasquantino to cause problems for Paddack in this matchup. After a few quiet games, I like Pasquantino’s chances of hitting for some power in this one.
Tigers vs Royals same-game parlay (SGP)
The bad news is that Kerry Carpenter is a little cold at the dish. He has zero homers over his last nine games and has cleared this line just twice. The good news is Carpenter has a .270 ISO vs. right-handed pitchers this season and draws Seth Lugo, who has allowed a .246 ISO and 2.4 homers per nine innings against left-handed bats. Advantage Kerry Bonds.
If Pasquantino, Carpenter, and some of the power hitters in this game are to pile up the bases, there’s a good chance runs follow in bulk.
Tigers vs Royals odds
- Moneyline: Detroit +107 | Kansas City -119
- Run line: Detroit +1.5 (-194) | Kansas City -1.5 (+169)
- Over/Under: Over 9.0 (+102) | Under 9.0 (-117)
Tigers vs Royals trend
Vinnie Pasquantino has averaged 2.5 total bases spanning his last 20 home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Royals.
How to watch Tigers vs Royals and game info
| Location | Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| Date | Friday, August 29, 2025 |
| First pitch | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSNDT, FDSNKC |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Chris Paddack (5-11, 4.98 ERA) |
| Royals starting pitcher | Seth Lugo (8-6, 3.99 ERA) |
Tigers vs Royals latest injuries
Tigers vs Royals weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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