Will the trends be our friend this evening?
We have a ton of value to attack this evening, so here are my favorite MLB player props for June 24, led by Ketel Marte and Nick Kurtz.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Ketel Marte |
Over 1.5 total bases | -126 |
 Nick Kurtz |
Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI | -123 |
 Brice Turang |
Over 1.5 total bases | +106 |
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 total bases (-126)
- Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CARD, ARID
Nick Kurtz Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-123)
Get ready to drool all over yourself as I lay out some delicious numbers on the Athletics' young star Nick Kurtz.
He checks in with an elite rating on Batters-Box, including 100% arsenal coverage against San Francisco starter Tyler Mahle. In 48 elite road ratings, Kurtz clears this prop nearly 71% of the time, while also leaving the yard 25% of the time in those spots.
Mahle leans heavily on his fastball at nearly 50% usage, a profile that should have hitters salivating. Even more concerning, roughly half of his pitch mix grades below league average.
Left-handed hitters have also given him issues of late, with the last 60 he has faced elevating the ball 60% of the time while posting a .505 expected slugging.
Kurtz has been on a tear all season, and over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, he is sitting at a .346 average, .615 slug, 1.048 OPS, with a 53.3% hard-hit rate and a 13.3% barrel rate.
Get the best number and do not lay anything past -130 on this prop.
- Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSBA, NBCSCA
Brice Turang Over 1.5 total bases (+106)
I may just be fading future country singer Rhett Lowder to kickstart that career, or this may just be the right spot to back Milwaukee Brewers second baseman Brice Turang to go over his bases prop this evening in the small park.
The Cincinnati Reds' starter has been allowing a 60% elevation rate to lefties at home. Over his last 60 left-handed hitters faced, he has allowed a 40% hard hit rate, 15% barrel rate, and 65% elevation rate, while also carrying a .311 xBA, .627 xSLG, and .397 xwOBA in that split.
Turang enters with an elite rating in Batters-Box’s current season dataset, and he also brings 86.2% arsenal coverage against Lowder’s pitch mix, which sits 46% below league average, per FanGraphs.
The 26-year-old has shown strong percentage gains across key underlying metrics in this current stretch, which only sharpens the appeal of this matchup.
Take this down to even money, no need to pay any juice.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: BREW, CINR
- Prop picks: 236-436-36, -7.5 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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