Royals vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Best Bet —Tuesday, July 22

Allen's analysis: Royals don't stand a chance of touching Matthew Boyd tonight.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Jul 22, 2025 • 16:23 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
CHC
73 %
KC
27 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Matthew Boyd u1.5  Earned Runs Allowed (+100) Matthew Boyd u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+100)
Read Analysis
Matthew Boyd Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Matthew Boyd delivers a pitch.

The Kansas City Royals are in the Windy City this evening to face the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. Coverage begins at 8:05 p.m. ET on FanDuel Sports Network (Kansas City) and Marquee.

My Royals vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, July 22 believe Matthew Boyd will pick up where he left off in his first start following the All-Star break. 

Royals vs Cubs prediction

My Royals vs Cubs best bet: Matthew Boyd Under 1.5 earned runs (+105 at DraftKings)

The Chicago Cubs are rolling and look like a legitimate contender in the National League. While their offense is the clear bright spot, they also have a solid rotation, and Matthew Boyd has been one of their key arms.

The southpaw has a 10-3 record, 2.34 ERA, and 102 Ks in 111 2/3 innings.

Boyd had a stellar 1.78 ERA in June, and he’s carried that brilliance into July, posting a 0.90 ERA across three starts. The hurler had cashed the Under in earned runs allowed in all of those appearances, and he even threw eight shutout innings against the New York Yankees in his last start before the All-Star Game festivities. 

Boyd’s numbers at Wrigley are even more incredible, sporting a 2.21 ERA with a perfect 8-0 record. The veteran simply doesn’t lose when he’s pitching in front of the Chicago faithful. 

He'll make quick work of the Kansas City Royals tonight.

Royals vs Cubs same-game parlay (SGP)

Matthew Boyd Under 1.5 earned runs

Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 hits

Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 hits

Bobby Witt Jr. would be winning an AL MVP if Aaron Judge weren’t in the same league. The youngster is one of the best all-around players in the majors, and he’s showing his brilliance again in 2025 with a .288 average, 14 home runs, and 56 RBI.

He’s also cashed the Over in hits in five of his last six contests. The shortstop rarely goes hitless, and he's also hitting .351 against left-handed hurlers.

The last part of my SGP is a bit risky, but I’m mostly focusing on Kyle Tucker’s success against Rich Hill, who the Royals will call up to start tonight’s contest.

Hill, who is well over 40 now, gets another chance in the big leagues with K.C., and he’ll be up against a phenomenal Chicago lineup. 

Tucker is the one hitter he won’t want to face, as he’s 4-for-7 lifetime in this matchup.

Royals vs Cubs odds

Royals vs Cubs live odds

Royals vs Cubs opening odds

  • Moneyline: Kansas City +205 | Chicago -250
  • Run line: Kansas City +1.5 (+105) | Chicago -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (+100) | Under 9 (-120)

Royals vs Cubs trend

The Cubs have hit the moneyline in 57 of their last 94 games (+12.85 Units / 9% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Royals vs. Cubs.

How to watch Royals vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Tuesday, 7-22-2025
First pitch 8:05 p.m. ET
TV FDSNKC, MARQ
Royals starting pitcher Rich Hill
(2024: 0-1, 4.91 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Matthew Boyd
(10-3, 2.34 ERA)

Royals vs Cubs latest injuries

Royals vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications. He's currently a senior editor at ClutchPoints and has published work for numerous betting websites in the past. 

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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