Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Jason Ence - Contributor at Covers.com
Jason Ence • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 7, 2026 , 04:43 PM ET • 4 min read

The Dodgers are heavy favorites on Tuesday, and Michael Lorenzen's struggles against left-handed hitters put Los Angeles in position to cover the run line while helping push the total Over.

MLB

Match starts: 4 hrs
COL
37 %
LAD
63 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-137) LA Dodgers -1.5 (-137)
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 Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani.

The Los Angeles Dodgers won a thriller over the Colorado Rockies last night and now look to secure the series on Tuesday.

My Rockies vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks back the home side to keep rolling, with Los Angeles covering the run line behind a favorable matchup against struggling right-hander Michael Lorenzen.

Who will win Rockies vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (-137)

Michael Lorenzen is having an abysmal season, and this is a terrible matchup for him — but a great one for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

That's because Lorenzen is getting tagged hard by left-handed hitters. On the season, lefties are slashing .365/.423/.640 against him while posting a 1.94 HR/9 rate.

Lorenzen owns a 5.07 xFIP versus left-handed hitters over the past month, but that number could be even worse. He's surrendered a HR/FB rate of only 4.8% despite allowing a 37.5% fly-ball rate.

The Dodgers' left-handed bats should do plenty of damage as Los Angeles covers the run line.

I'm betting this to -150 as my best bet.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Lorenzen's hard-hit rate of 51.8% vs. left-handed hitters over the past month is the second-highest mark among starting pitchers who have faced at least 30 left-handed batters.

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Rockies vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-103)

Lorenzen will get us close to the total, but two overworked bullpens should carry this game Over.

Last night's 11-inning contest further taxed a Colorado Rockies bullpen that's thrown the fifth-most innings (32 2/3) of any club over the past week.

During that stretch, the Rockies own the lowest strikeout rate (14.4%) in baseball. An inability to miss bats against the Dodgers is never a recipe for success.

Colorado's .566 slugging percentage leads the majors over the past month, and the Rockies should tack on a few runs after Justin Wrobleski exits against a Dodgers bullpen that has logged the same number of innings over the past week as Colorado.

I'm playing this to -115.

Jason Ence's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 10-14, -4.90 units
  • Over/Under bets: 14-10, +3.28 units

Rockies vs Dodgers weather

Expect ideal hitting conditions at Dodger Stadium on Tuesday night. Clear skies, temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s at first pitch, and little to no wind mean weather should have virtually no impact on the game.

Rockies vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: Rockies +261 | Dodgers -266
  • Run line: Rockies +1.5 (+127) | Dodgers -1.5 (-138)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+100) | Under 9.5 (-104)

Rockies vs Dodgers trend

The Colorado Rockies have hit the game total Over in eight of their last 12 games (+4.70 units, 35% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Rockies vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Tuesday, July 7, 2026
First pitch 10:10 p.m. ET
TV Rockies.TV, SNLA
Rockies starting pitcher Michael Lorenzen
(3-9, 6.91 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Justin Wrobleski
(10-2, 2.80 ERA)

Rockies vs Dodgers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Ence - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jason has been hooked on football since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.

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