Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 13, 2026 , 11:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Max Scherzer has looked good in this specific matchup, limiting Willson Contreras, Adley Rutschman, and Jaren Duran to a .165 xBA or worse across 25 combined at-bats. Sign me up.

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
BOS
56 %
TOR
44 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
Toronto +1.5 (-130) Toronto +1.5 (-130)
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Max Scherzer Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Max Scherzer (31) tosses his record breaking ball to the dugout after moving to tenth place all time on the strikeout list during the sixth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies

Max Scherzer gets the nod today, and I'm riding with him in my Red Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays have narrowed the gap to just 1.5 games for the final Wild Card spot and are coming into this one as +135 underdogs against the Boston Red Sox at BET99. It's time to ride the wave and back the Blue Jays to finish the four-game sweep at the Rogers Centre.

Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Thursday, Aug. 13, and cash a same-game parlay, shall we?

Red Sox vs Blue Jays predictions

Red Sox vs Blue Jays best bet: Blue Jays +1.5 (-130)

Max Scherzer has a history of showing up in big games (look no further than last year's Game 7 of the World Series), and has actually been pretty serviceable for the Toronto Blue Jays of late after struggling out of the gate.

The veteran has allowed just three earned runs across his last 11 1/3 innings, and the stage might be the brightest of the season tonight as Toronto looks to sweep Boston and continue its ascent in the Wild Card standings. 

He's looked good in this specific matchup, too, limiting Willson Contreras, Adley Rutschman, and Jaren Duran to a .165 xBA or worse across 25 combined at-bats. The Jays have won 10 of their last 14 games, and the offense has scored five or more runs in five of their last six. Sign me up.

I'd price this closer to -145, so I'm taking this type of value and running with it.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Looking for damage against the Red Sox? Andres Gimenez has had Payton Tolle's number so far in the pitcher's young career. The shortstop is 3-for-4 with a double and a homer against him, sporting a .458 xBA and 1.070 xSLG. He could be your unsung hero tonight.

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Red Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

The Blue Jays will make this one close, and Scherzer has a good history against these Red Sox, limiting them to a .268 xwOBA across 45 plate appearances — that'll play.

George Springer gets the tap on the shoulder offensively: his splits are slightly better against lefties, he's cashed this play in two straight games he's started in, and he's rocking an .820 OPS following the All-Star break. After a day off last night, let's see him locked in today.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Blue Jays +1.5 
  • Max Scherzer Under 2.5 earned runs
  • George Springer Over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI

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Regulated Alberta sports betting has officially launched, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.

You can sign up and join BET99 — one of the best Alberta betting apps — now to get in on the Blue Jays action!

Red Sox vs Blue Jays home run pick: Andres Gimenez (+1100)

Why not take a shot at this price? As mentioned above, Gimenez has Tolle's number so far and could absolutely be the hero the Blue Jays need tonight. He has a higher OPS at home and post-All-Star break, and owns the team's highest xSLG in this specific matchup. Fire up a long-shot home run pick at no more than .2u, and let's see the defense-first shortstop hit his ninth homer of the year.

Dustin Saracini's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets:  2-1, +1.95 units
  • SGPs: 0-3, -0.6 units
  • HR picks: 0-3, -0.6 units

Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Boston (-155) | Toronto (+135)
  • Run line: Boston -1.5 (+110) | Toronto +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-110)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays trend

Looking for a total play? The Under is 6-0 in the Blue Jays' last six games during Game 4 of a series. With this pitching matchup, it might not hurt to buy up the defense. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Red Sox vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Thursday, Aug. 13, 2026
First pitch 3:07 p.m. ET
TV NESN, SN
Red Sox starting pitcher Payton Tolle
(7-6, 3.20 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Max Scherzer
(1-4, 7.25 ERA)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Red Sox vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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