Rays vs A’s Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 10, 2026 , 11:19 AM ET • 4 min read

Jacob Lopez has posted a 3.49 FIP while striking out more than 32% of batters the past month, and that should help keep the Athletics close against the Rays (-160).

MLB

Match starts: 9 hrs
TB
65 %
ATH
35 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
Athletics +1.5 (-120) Athletics +1.5 (-120)
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Jacob Lopez Athletics MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Athletics pitcher Jacob Lopez (57) throws a pitch in the second inning of the MLB Interleague game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Athletics at Great American Ball Park

The Tampa Bay Rays are riding a six-game winning streak, and they're sizable -160 road favorites to extend that to seven games tonight.

While the Rays deserve to be favorites, my Rays vs. A's predictions and MLB picks see value in backing the home team to keep it close on Monday, Aug. 10.

Who will win Rays vs A’s tonight: Athletics +1.5 (-120)

Freddy Peralta has struggled to keep runners off the bases this season, posting a 1.52 WHIP to date. He has also allowed 1.46 home runs per nine innings, a number that’s soared to 2.60 over the past 30 days.

That is not a good formula taking on the Athletics in an extremely hitter-friendly environment — even with key bats like Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers sidelined.

Jacob Lopez has managed a solid 3.49 FIP over the last month while striking out 32.5% of opposing batters. He should help keep this close.

Bet to -131.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Peralta ranks in the fifth percentile in Pitcher Run Value, a far cry from last season's 97th percentile finish

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Rays vs A’s Over/Under pick: Under 10.0 (-110)

Lopez’s fly ball tendency is a concern in such favorable hitting conditions, but the Tampa Bay Rays aren’t in prime form to capitalize.

They own a .135 ISO against lefties the past month while ranking 22nd in hard-hit rate and 27th in fly-ball rate. 

The Athletics have labored since Langeliers went down, ranking 29th in OBP and 25th in ISO. They’re not getting on base often, nor hitting for much power.

Betting an Under in this park is a scary proposition, but I make this total 9.6 runs and would bet it to -116.

Rays vs A’s home run prediction: Junior Caminero (+200)

Junior Caminero leads the Rays in average fly-ball distance by nearly 40 feet over the last 15 games while pacing the group in barrel rate at 13.6%.

That has only translated to two home runs, but Caminero generally doesn’t go quiet for very long.

Lopez has conceded 1.86 homers per nine innings to righties, a full home run more than he allows to lefties.

The fastball is his most-used pitch, and Caminero owns a .346 ISO against left-handed four-seams this season.

I'd take him to leave the yard down to +186.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 75-66, -5.50 units
  • Over/Under bets: 78-57-6, +11.89 units

Rays vs A’s weather

Temperatures in the 90s are expected with notable winds blowing out. Clear boost to the bats.

Rays vs A’s odds

  • Moneyline: Rays -155 | A’s +135
  • Run line: Rays -1.5 (+100) | A’s +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: Over 10.0 (-105) | Under 10.0 (-115)

Rays vs A’s trend

The Athletics have covered the Run Line in five of the last six games (+4.20 units, 55% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. A’s.

How to watch Rays vs A’s and game info

Location Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, CA
Date Monday, August 10, 2026
First pitch 9:40 p.m. ET
TV Rays.TV, NBC Sports California
Rays starting pitcher Freddy Peralta
(5-9, 5.37 ERA)
A’s starting pitcher Jacob Lopez
(5-4, 5.64 ERA)

Rays vs A’s latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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