Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Wednesday, September 3

Neither pitcher figures to have a spotless night, and we're backing the likes of Bryce Harper and William Contreras to trade big swings.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Sep 3, 2025 • 10:36 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 4 hrs
MIL
61 %
PHI
39 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o8.5 (-130)
Read Analysis
Bryce Harper Philadelphia Phillies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Phillies slugger Bryce Harper rounds the bases after belting a home run.

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Philadelphia Phillies in the second matchup of this three-game series at American Family Field.

My Phillies vs. Brewers predictions expect the offenses to light up the scoreboard in Milwaukee.

Read on for my MLB picks for Wednesday, September 3.

Phillies vs Brewers prediction

Phillies vs Brewers best bet: Over 9 (+100)

Both the Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers rank in the Top 10 in runs scored per game, hits per game, on-base percentage, and OPS.

That offensive success is likely to continue, given the pitching matchup between Aaron Nola and Jose Quintana.

Through 12 starts, Nola is 3-7 with a 6.47 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally poor, as he ranks in the bottom third of the league in expected ERA (xERA), expected batting average (xBA), and hard-hit rate.

Speaking of poor analytics, Quintana's been even worse. This season, he ranks in the 12th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA, and strikeout rate.

Quintana is in poor form of late, having surrendered six runs in his previous start against the Arizona Diamondbacks. There were 10 total runs scored in that outing, and another high-scoring affair is likely today.

Phillies vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)

There may not be two better candidates to cross the plate than Bryce Harper and William Contreras. The latter boasts a .444 slugging percentage through 28 plate appearances against Nola.

Meanwhile, Harper has scored 10 runs over his past 15 games, posting a .567 slugging percentage over that stretch.

Phillies vs Brewers odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia -105 | Milwaukee -115
  • Run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+165) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (+100) | Under 9 (-120)

Phillies vs Brewers trend

There have been nine or more total runs scored in six of Milwaukee’s past eight games. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Brewers.

How to watch Phillies vs Brewers and game info

Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date Wednesday, September 3, 2025
First pitch 7:40 p.m. ET
TV NBC Sports Philadelphia, FDSN Wisconsin
Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola
(3-7, 6.47 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher Jose Quintana
(10-5, 3.69 ERA)

Phillies vs Brewers latest injuries

Phillies vs Brewers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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