Phillies vs Brewers Picks and Predictions: Philly Makes It Six Straight

Philadelphia came back in its series opener in Milwaukee yesterday to win its fifth game in a row. The Phillies will send Aaron Nola to the mound while the Brewers respond with Adrian Houser in game two — a matchup our picks expect to be the difference.

John Reger - Contributor at
John Reger • Contributor
Jun 8, 2022 • 16:38 ET • 4 min read
Adrian Houser Milwaukee Brewers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies won their fifth game in a row with a comeback victory against the Milwaukee Brewers in the first game of a three-game series on Tuesday. 

That loss was the Brewers’ fourth straight and now they have to face an improving Aaron Nola on Wednesday to try and snap the skid. 

Will the respective streaks for the Phillies and Brewers continue, or will Milwaukee get the best of Philadelphia? 

Find out what we think with our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Phillies vs. Brewers on June 8. 

Phillies vs Brewers odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Phillies opened at -130 but have come down from that number, going anywhere from -120 to -125. The Brewers started at +110 but that too has dropped, settling at +105.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Phillies vs Brewers predictions

Picks made on 6/8/2022 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Phillies vs Brewers game info

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Wednesday, June 8, 2022
First pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: NBCS-PHI, Bally Sports

Phillies vs Brewers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Aaron Nola (3-4, 3.92 ERA): Last season Nola, the former first-round pick, struggled on the road. This year has been a different story. The 29-year-old right-hander is pitching better away from Citizens Bank Park. While his ERA is 3.77 at home, it’s at 3.38 in five away starts. His last away game start was in Atlanta on May 26 and he limited the Braves to one run on five hits through 8 1-3 innings. 

Adrian Houser (3-5, 3.51 ERA): Houser is a dangerous pitcher to handicap. So far this season, he has been either brilliant or a train wreck. The 29-year-old righty has three games where he has allowed just one run and three others where he has yielded three or more. In his last start, he allowed one run on five hits to the San Diego Padres, but the start before that he got bombed, giving up five runs, including two homers, against the St. Louis Cardinals. 


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Phillies: Didi Gregorius SS (Out), Jean Segura SS (Out).
Brewers: Willy Adames SS (Probable), Hunter Renfroe RF (Probable), Luis Urias 2B (Questionable), Mike Brosseau 3B (Out), Omar Narvaez C (Out), Jake Cousins RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between the Phillies and Brewers in Milwaukee. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Brewers

Phillies vs Brewers picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Run line analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies were playing like the team that was projected to be a playoff contender, with a good mix of pitching and offense to make that happen. Then, the Phillies found themselves seven games below .500 and fired manager Joe Girardi last week. 

That seems to have lit a fire under the team. Philadelphia went out and swept the Angels over the weekend and seems to be playing with renewed purpose. 

On Monday, the Phillies were down a run in the ninth but came back to beat the Brewers, 3-1. It was their third come-from-behind win in six days. 

Philadelphia has the tools to get into the playoffs and now it’s looking like it’s ready to use them. The team is tied for eighth in home runs, and Bryce Harper, who has been the designated hitter while he heals from an elbow injury, has 13 dingers — second to Kyle Schwarber’s 14. 

Milwaukee is also just 1-5 in its last six as a home underdog.

Prediction: Phillies -1.5 (+135 at BetMGM)

Over/Under analysis

This is a game in which the Phillies could go Over the eight runs all by themselves. Milwaukee starter Adrian Houser has gotten torched a few times this season and most recently, he allowed five runs. 

Philadelphia is seventh in runs, as it is averaging 4.7 runs a game and have 10 games this season scoring eight runs or more. 

The Brewers can score as well, sitting ninth in runs. The trend is on the Over for both teams, with the Phillies 5-0 to the Over in their last five games and 5-0 in the last five in the second game of a series. 

The Brewers are 4-1 to the Over against a left-handed starter and 4-1 in their last five home games. 

The Over is 5-2 in the last seven games between the two teams and will move to 6-2 today. 

Prediction: Over 8 (-110 at Caesars)

Best bet

Adrian Houser is susceptible to getting tagged for runs. The righty, whose ERA is 3.51, has had four games in which he has given up three or more earned runs. In a game against the St. Louis Cardinals on May 28, Houser surrendered five earned runs on nine hits in four innings. 

That’s not the only time Houser has been roughed up. On May 11, against the lowly Cincinnati Reds, Houser allowed three runs on six hits. The start before that, which was also against the Reds, he allowed four earned runs on seven hits. 

Brewers manager Craig Counsell has shown he does not have a quick hook and has let Houser pitch when he was struggling. The quickest he has been pulled was April 11, and that had more to do with pitch count than performance. 

The Phillies have the weapons to get at least three earned runs against Milwaukee's righty tonight. They are one of the better offenses in the Majors and five Phils have 20 or more RBI (with two others currently at 19). 

If Houser goes at least four innings, I like his chances to give up at least three runs.

Pick: Adrian Houser over 2.5 earned runs (-105)

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