Two elite southpaws duel in Texas as the Philadelphia Phillies send Ranger Suarez to the hill opposite Houston Astros starter Framber Valdez.
My Phillies vs. Astros predictions expect good things from both hurlers en route to the Under for our MLB picks on Tuesday, June 24.
Phillies vs Astros prediction
My Phillies vs Astros best bet: Under 7.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
⚾ Pick Analysis
Philadelphia Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez opened his season by allowing seven earned runs over 3 2/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks on May 4. Since then, he owns a 1.17 ERA in 53 2/3 innings across eight starts, surrendering more than two earned runs only once, and not since May 16 vs. the Pirates.
Veteran Houston Astros southpaw Framber Valdez also has a seven-run outing to his name in 2025, back on April 14. Since then, he has a 2.55 ERA and has allowed more than two earned runs only twice, and not since May 18.
While the argument in favor of either team's offense can be made — both fare well against left-handers in general — the pitching matchup is enough to go after the Under.
Both starters routinely pitch into the seventh inning, limiting bullpen exposure and helping push us toward a low-scoring final.
Phillies vs Astros same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 7.5
Jeremy Pena 2+ total bases
Trea Turner 2+ total bases
🚀 SGP Analysis
By pairing the game total Under with two hitters to clear 2+ total bases, we're landing a huge non-correlated line for our SGP.
Trea Turner is batting .309 with a 130 wRC+, while Jeremy Pena is hitting .364 with a 182 wRC+ vs. left-handed pitching.
Both batters hit leadoff and may be less likely to be in a position to drive in runs with their hits. Obviously, by clearing 2+ total bases, they will put themselves in scoring position, but that's why we're getting such a massive number.
Phillies vs Astros odds
Phillies vs Astros live odds
Phillies vs Astros opening odds
- Moneyline: Philadelphia +120 | Houston -140
- Run line: Philadelphia +1.5 (-200) | Houston -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under: Over 7 (-125) | Under 7 (+105)
Phillies vs Astros trend
The Phillies have hit the Under in 22 of their last 34 away games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Astros.
How to watch Phillies vs Astros and game info
| Location | Daikin Park, Houston, TX |
| Date | Tuesday, 6-24-2025 |
| First pitch | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports Philadelphia, SCHN |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Ranger Suarez (6-1, 2.20 ERA) |
| Astros starting pitcher | Framber Valdez (8-4, 3.09 ERA) |
Phillies vs Astros latest injuries
Phillies vs Astros weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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