Our Sunday 15-game MLB slate is ripe with solid betting possibilities throughout the day.
Our moneyline predictions target a good mix of struggling bullpens and bats to attack, and we've found a number of strong underdogs to go along with favorites in favorable matchups.
Read on for my MLB picks for Sunday, May 10.
MLB moneyline picks for May 10
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Nationalsvs  Marlins |
+117 |
 Athleticsvs  Orioles |
-104 |
 Rockiesvs  Phillies |
+203 |
 Raysvs  Red Sox |
-113 |
 Angelsvs  Blue Jays |
-100 |
 Astrosvs  Reds |
+117 |
 Twinsvs  Guardians |
-133 |
 Yankeesvs  Brewers |
+122 |
 Marinersvs  White Sox |
+117 |
 Cubsvs  Rangers |
+108 |
 Piratesvs  Giants |
-100 |
 Bravesvs  Dodgers |
-122 |
 Metsvs  Diamondbacks |
-113 |
 Cardinalsvs  Padres |
+127 |
 Tigersvs  Royals |
-122 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 5-10.
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Expert MLB moneyline picks for May 10
Nationals vs Marlins: Nationals (+117)
Nationals win probability: 46.1%
Cade Cavalli draws a favorable matchup against a Miami Marlins offense posting an 80 wRC+ over the last seven days, one of the coldest lineups in baseball. The Washington Nationals rank third in wRC+ this week. Back the Nats at plus money.
Athletics vs Orioles: Athletics (-104)
Athletics win probability: 51%
The Athletics rank fifth in wRC+ this week at 118, while the Baltimore Orioles bullpen has posted a brutal 4.66 ERA over the last seven days. The A's hot offense gives value at a near pick'em price.
Rockies vs Phillies: Rockies (+203)
Rockies win probability: 33%
The Colorado Rockies are slugging .433 across their previous seven games. Cristopher Sanchez may be dealing, but the Philadelphia Phillies' .290 on-base percentage means they shouldn't be nearly 2/1 favorites against anyone. Hold your nose and play Colorado.
Rays vs Red Sox: Rays (-113)
Rays win probability: 53.1%
The Tampa Bay Rays' bullpen has been dominant over the last seven days, posting a 0.62 ERA in relief. Drew Rasmussen faces a Boston Red Sox offense ranked 18th in weekly wRC+. Tampa Bay owns the pitching edge from top to bottom.
Angels vs Blue Jays: Angels (-100)
Angels win probability: 50%
Eric Lauer has coughed up eight home runs across 31.1 frames. Jose Soriano is striking out 10 hitters per nine, and meets a Toronto Blue Jays offense that seems stuck, as evidenced by their 82 wRC+ across the past seven days.
Astros vs Reds: Astros (+117)
Astros win probability: 46.1%
Two of the sport's worst bullpens meet today, and it appears the Houston Astros will be in a bullpen game. Cincinnati Reds starter Andrew Abbott is walking 4.24 hitters per nine, and the Cincy bullpen boasts a 9.23 ERA across the last week. Back the 'Stros bats in a slugfest.
Twins vs Guardians: Guardians (-133)
Guardians win probability: 58%
We should see good starting pitching on Sunday. The problem is the Minnesota Twins' bullpen is carrying a whopping 9.24 ERA across their last 21 1/3 frames. The Cleveland Guardians bullpen isn't much better, but we'll back the better offense, and that's the Guardians.
Yankees vs Brewers: Brewers (+122)
Brewers win probability: 45%
Logan Henderson faces the best offense in baseball, but Carlos Rodon is making his first start and could be rusty. The Milwaukee Brewers bullpen has posted a 2.10 xERA in relief over the last seven days. The Brewers are worth backing at a good price.
Mariners vs White Sox: White Sox (+117)
White Sox win probability: 46.1%
Logan Gilbert has been inconsistent lately, and the Chicago White Sox offense has quietly improved, ranking 10th in batting wRC+ over the last seven days at 103. Chicago sticks and dynamite Davis Martin (5-1, 1.64) on the mound offers value at plus-money against a vulnerable Gilbert.
Cubs vs Rangers: Cubs (+108)
Cubs win probability: 48.1%
The Chicago Cubs are the hottest team in baseball, and rank second in wRC+ this week at 126. Jameson Taillon has been better than his numbers suggest, and I'll back him and the Cubbies as the Texas Rangers continue to struggle out of the bullpen.
Pirates vs Giants: Pirates (-100)
Pirates win probability: 50%
The San Francisco Giants rank dead last in batting wRC+ this week at 67 and continue to struggle badly offensively. The Pittsburgh Pirates offense has quietly been solid over the same stretch. With two struggling starting pitchers on the hill, we'll back the Bucs' bats.
Braves vs Dodgers: Dodgers (-122)
Dodgers win probability: 55%
Two spectacular starters on the hill, but the Los Angeles Dodgers' bullpen has posted a 0.84 ERA in relief over the last seven days, the second-best in baseball. The Dodgers' offense is slightly better than the Atlanta Braves' sticks, and we'll roll with the L.A. pitching.
Mets vs Diamondbacks: Diamondbacks (-113)
Diamondbacks win probability: 53.1%
Eduardo Rodriguez takes the mound at 3-0, and the Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen has posted a 2.12 ERA in relief over the last seven days. The New York Mets haven't named a starter with a struggling lineup and the 20th-best bullpen in the past week.
Cardinals vs Padres: Cardinals (+127)
Cardinals win probability: 44.1%
The St. Louis Cardinals own the better offense, and Kyle Leahy gets a San Diego Padres one of the coldest lineups in baseball with a 68 wRC+ over the last seven days. St. Louis' bullpen has been good enough to trust the Cardinals to outscore the Padres.
Tigers vs Royals: Royals (-122)
Royals win probability: 55%
Kansas City Royals' bullpen ranks eighth in baseball this week, while the Detroit Tigers offense ranks 27th in wRC+ at 72 during that same period. The Royals have both the hotter bats and stronger relief pitching at a reasonable price.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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