MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Sunday, June 14

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 14, 2026 , 08:00 AM ET • 4 min read

MLB expert Phil Naessens shares a moneyline prediction for every MLB game on Sunday's 15-game slate.

Nathan Eovaldi of the Texas Rangers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Nathan Eovaldi of the Texas Rangers MLB

We have 15 MLB games on the card, and betting on underdogs is a must. 

Today's card features several of these plus-money predictions, and we've scoured the MLB odds and have found quite a few dogs that could hunt for us today. 

Read on for a fun day of MLB predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, June 14.

MLB moneyline picks for June 14

Matchup Pick
Marlins Marlins
vs
Pirates Pirates
Marlins
+133
Padres Padres
vs
Orioles Orioles
Orioles
-117
Mariners Mariners
vs
Nationals Nationals
Nationals
+127
Yankees Yankees
vs
Blue Jays Blue Jays
Yankees
-127
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
vs
Reds Reds
Reds
-104
Braves Braves
vs
Mets Mets
Mets
-100
Tigers Tigers
vs
Guardians Guardians
Tigers
+113
Astros Astros
vs
Royals Royals
Astros
+117
Dodgers Dodgers
vs
White Sox White Sox
White Sox
+170
Phillies Phillies
vs
Brewers Brewers
Brewers
-108
Cardinals Cardinals
vs
Twins Twins
Cardinals
+104
Rockies Rockies
vs
Athletics Athletics
Athletics
-170
Cubs Cubs
vs
Giants Giants
Cubs
+122
Rays Rays
vs
Angels Angels
Angels
-100
Rangers Rangers
vs
Red Sox Red Sox
Rangers
+108

Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 6-14.

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Expert MLB moneyline picks for June 14

Marlins vs Pirates: Miami Marlins (+133)

Marlins win probability: 42.9%

Pittsburgh’s 126 wRC+ looks strong, but their bullpen is an absolute disaster right now, leaking a 4.56 SIERA and an awful 14.5% walk rate. Miami’s steady 3.74 relief SIERA completely outclasses them late. Take the high price on the Marlins to steal it late against that leaky pen.

Padres vs Orioles: Baltimore Orioles (-117)

Orioles win probability: 53.9%

San Diego's bats are completely frozen, posting an anemic 80 wRC+ and a low .259 BABIP. Meanwhile, Baltimore maintains a sturdy .442 slugging percentage. Combine that with the Orioles' superior 3.44 bullpen SIERA, and this low -117 price on the home favorite becomes an absolute steal.

Mariners vs Nationals: Nationals (+127)

Nationals win probability: 44.1%

Seattle has a decent 117 wRC+, but their bullpen is leaking oil at 4.46 SIERA over the last two weeks. Washington's relievers have struggled, but getting a +127 home price against a shaky away pen is pure value. Trust the Nationals to scrape out a close win.

Yankees vs Blue Jays: New York Yankees (-127)

Yankees win probability: 56%

Toronto's 114 wRC+ edges New York's 100, but Patrick Corbin starting for the Blue Jays changes everything. The Yankees' elite 11.4% walk rate will break him early. Plus, New York holds a significant late-inning advantage with a 3.31 bullpen SIERA compared to Toronto's 3.62.

Diamondbacks vs Reds: Cincinnati Reds (-104)

Reds win probability: 51%

Arizona is hitting a miserable 58 wRC+ with a dead-last .296 slugging percentage. Both teams possess shaky relievers with over a 4.45 SIERA, but Andrew Abbott should completely mute this ice-cold offense early. The market is drastically overvaluing the slumping Diamondbacks at a pick'em price.

Braves vs Mets: New York Mets (-100)

Mets win probability: 50%

Both teams feature cold offenses, but Freddy Peralta provides a major strikeout ceiling over Bryce Elder. Late in relief, the Mets hold a sharp edge with a 3.11 bullpen SIERA and tiny 5.2% walk rate compared to Atlanta's 3.36 SIERA. Take the Mets at pick'em odds.

Tigers vs Guardians: Detroit Tigers (+113)

Tigers win probability: 46.9%

Detroit is absolutely crushing the baseball with a rolling .504 slugging percentage and 124 wRC+. Cleveland's bats have completely tanked to an 86 wRC+ with a heavy 24.8% strikeout rate. With both bullpens stable under a 3.77 SIERA, the Tigers are a premium live dog.

Astros vs Royals: Houston Astros (+117)

Astros win probability: 46.1%

Houston's high-ceiling offense faces Stephen Kolek on Sunday. The defining factor here is the massive late-inning pitching gap: the Astros present an elite 3.16 bullpen SIERA and a heavy 29.4% K-rate, while the Royals' relief unit sits at a mediocre 4.03 SIERA. Take the road dog.

Dodgers vs White Sox: Chicago White Sox (+170)

White Sox win probability: 37%

The White Sox are shockingly hitting well, boasting a rolling 127 wRC+ and a strong .466 slugging percentage. Chicago's bullpen has also outperformed the Dodgers lately, holding a stable 3.81 SIERA against LA's 3.56 collapse. Erick Fedde keeps this tight. Take the massive +170 home price.

Phillies vs Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers (-108)

Brewers win probability: 51.9%

Philadelphia hitters are completely lost, striking out at a massive 28.7% clip over the last two weeks. Milwaukee's offense is surging with a 142 wRC+ and a .377 wOBA. Kyle Harrison handles this slumping lineup easily, backed by a strong 3.54 home bullpen SIERA.

Cardinals vs Twins: St. Louis Cardinals (+104)

Cardinals win probability: 49%

St. Louis holds a clear offensive edge with a 118 wRC+ compared to Minnesota's 111. Crucially, the Cardinals feature a highly reliable 3.38 bullpen SIERA that completely outclasses the Twins' messy 4.51 relief metrics. Grab the plus-money road value on the better bullpen.

Rockies vs Athletics: Athletics (-170)

Athletics win probability: 63%

The Athletics are absolutely hammering the ball right now, leading the entire slate with a massive .517 slugging percentage and a 129 wRC+. Their bullpen is equally elite, tossing a slate-best 2.89 SIERA. Jeffrey Springs handles Colorado's poor road offense. The high favorite price is completely justified.

Cubs vs Giants: Chicago Cubs (+122)

Cubs win probability: 45%

San Francisco's bats are red-hot, but their relief pitching is in a catastrophic freefall, posting a slate-worst 5.25 SIERA. Chicago's stable 3.85 SIERA for the bullpen gives the visitors a massive late-game edge. Back the live road underdog to exploit a leaky pen and cash a nice ticket.

Rays vs Angels: Los Angeles Angels (-100)

Angels win probability: 50%

Tampa Bay patiently walks but completely lacks raw power with an anemic .113 ISO. The real edge comes late on the mound: the Angels' bullpen boasts a superior 3.88 SIERA, easily outclassing Tampa's shaky 4.34 mark. Take the Angels at home to cleanly secure the tight win.

Rangers vs Red Sox: Texas Rangers ML (+108)

Rangers win probability: 48.1%

Texas is hitting steadily with a 108 wRC+, while Boston has dropped to a cold 96 wRC+ and a weak 5.9% walk rate. Both bullpens are stable under a 3.55 SIERA, meaning Nathan Eovaldi at plus-money against an undisciplined lineup represents fantastic, calculated closing value.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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