We have 15 MLB games on the card, and betting on underdogs is a must.
Today's card features several of these plus-money predictions, and we've scoured the MLB odds and have found quite a few dogs that could hunt for us today.
Read on for a fun day of MLB predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, June 14.
MLB moneyline picks for June 14
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
vs |
+133 |
vs |
-117 |
vs |
+127 |
vs |
-127 |
vs |
-104 |
vs |
-100 |
vs |
+113 |
vs |
+117 |
vs |
+170 |
vs |
-108 |
vs |
+104 |
vs |
-170 |
vs |
+122 |
vs |
-100 |
vs |
+108 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 6-14.
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Expert MLB moneyline picks for June 14
Marlins vs Pirates: Miami Marlins (+133)
Marlins win probability: 42.9%
Pittsburgh’s 126 wRC+ looks strong, but their bullpen is an absolute disaster right now, leaking a 4.56 SIERA and an awful 14.5% walk rate. Miami’s steady 3.74 relief SIERA completely outclasses them late. Take the high price on the Marlins to steal it late against that leaky pen.
Padres vs Orioles: Baltimore Orioles (-117)
Orioles win probability: 53.9%
San Diego's bats are completely frozen, posting an anemic 80 wRC+ and a low .259 BABIP. Meanwhile, Baltimore maintains a sturdy .442 slugging percentage. Combine that with the Orioles' superior 3.44 bullpen SIERA, and this low -117 price on the home favorite becomes an absolute steal.
Mariners vs Nationals: Nationals (+127)
Nationals win probability: 44.1%
Seattle has a decent 117 wRC+, but their bullpen is leaking oil at 4.46 SIERA over the last two weeks. Washington's relievers have struggled, but getting a +127 home price against a shaky away pen is pure value. Trust the Nationals to scrape out a close win.
Yankees vs Blue Jays: New York Yankees (-127)
Yankees win probability: 56%
Toronto's 114 wRC+ edges New York's 100, but Patrick Corbin starting for the Blue Jays changes everything. The Yankees' elite 11.4% walk rate will break him early. Plus, New York holds a significant late-inning advantage with a 3.31 bullpen SIERA compared to Toronto's 3.62.
Diamondbacks vs Reds: Cincinnati Reds (-104)
Reds win probability: 51%
Arizona is hitting a miserable 58 wRC+ with a dead-last .296 slugging percentage. Both teams possess shaky relievers with over a 4.45 SIERA, but Andrew Abbott should completely mute this ice-cold offense early. The market is drastically overvaluing the slumping Diamondbacks at a pick'em price.
Braves vs Mets: New York Mets (-100)
Mets win probability: 50%
Both teams feature cold offenses, but Freddy Peralta provides a major strikeout ceiling over Bryce Elder. Late in relief, the Mets hold a sharp edge with a 3.11 bullpen SIERA and tiny 5.2% walk rate compared to Atlanta's 3.36 SIERA. Take the Mets at pick'em odds.
Tigers vs Guardians: Detroit Tigers (+113)
Tigers win probability: 46.9%
Detroit is absolutely crushing the baseball with a rolling .504 slugging percentage and 124 wRC+. Cleveland's bats have completely tanked to an 86 wRC+ with a heavy 24.8% strikeout rate. With both bullpens stable under a 3.77 SIERA, the Tigers are a premium live dog.
Astros vs Royals: Houston Astros (+117)
Astros win probability: 46.1%
Houston's high-ceiling offense faces Stephen Kolek on Sunday. The defining factor here is the massive late-inning pitching gap: the Astros present an elite 3.16 bullpen SIERA and a heavy 29.4% K-rate, while the Royals' relief unit sits at a mediocre 4.03 SIERA. Take the road dog.
Dodgers vs White Sox: Chicago White Sox (+170)
White Sox win probability: 37%
The White Sox are shockingly hitting well, boasting a rolling 127 wRC+ and a strong .466 slugging percentage. Chicago's bullpen has also outperformed the Dodgers lately, holding a stable 3.81 SIERA against LA's 3.56 collapse. Erick Fedde keeps this tight. Take the massive +170 home price.
Phillies vs Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers (-108)
Brewers win probability: 51.9%
Philadelphia hitters are completely lost, striking out at a massive 28.7% clip over the last two weeks. Milwaukee's offense is surging with a 142 wRC+ and a .377 wOBA. Kyle Harrison handles this slumping lineup easily, backed by a strong 3.54 home bullpen SIERA.
Cardinals vs Twins: St. Louis Cardinals (+104)
Cardinals win probability: 49%
St. Louis holds a clear offensive edge with a 118 wRC+ compared to Minnesota's 111. Crucially, the Cardinals feature a highly reliable 3.38 bullpen SIERA that completely outclasses the Twins' messy 4.51 relief metrics. Grab the plus-money road value on the better bullpen.
Rockies vs Athletics: Athletics (-170)
Athletics win probability: 63%
The Athletics are absolutely hammering the ball right now, leading the entire slate with a massive .517 slugging percentage and a 129 wRC+. Their bullpen is equally elite, tossing a slate-best 2.89 SIERA. Jeffrey Springs handles Colorado's poor road offense. The high favorite price is completely justified.
Cubs vs Giants: Chicago Cubs (+122)
Cubs win probability: 45%
San Francisco's bats are red-hot, but their relief pitching is in a catastrophic freefall, posting a slate-worst 5.25 SIERA. Chicago's stable 3.85 SIERA for the bullpen gives the visitors a massive late-game edge. Back the live road underdog to exploit a leaky pen and cash a nice ticket.
Rays vs Angels: Los Angeles Angels (-100)
Angels win probability: 50%
Tampa Bay patiently walks but completely lacks raw power with an anemic .113 ISO. The real edge comes late on the mound: the Angels' bullpen boasts a superior 3.88 SIERA, easily outclassing Tampa's shaky 4.34 mark. Take the Angels at home to cleanly secure the tight win.
Rangers vs Red Sox: Texas Rangers ML (+108)
Rangers win probability: 48.1%
Texas is hitting steadily with a 108 wRC+, while Boston has dropped to a cold 96 wRC+ and a weak 5.9% walk rate. Both bullpens are stable under a 3.55 SIERA, meaning Nathan Eovaldi at plus-money against an undisciplined lineup represents fantastic, calculated closing value.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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