The New York Mets’ offense continued to roll on Friday in an 8-1 win over the San Francisco Giants, and now they’ll look to overcome another tough pitching matchup on Saturday as they aim for their sixth straight win.
We’ll explain in our Mets vs. Giants predictions why the home side should have a great chance of producing at the plate – something it’s done a lot of in the last two weeks – to give its No. 2 starter a chance to win this one.
Without further ado, let’s hand out some MLB picks for Saturday, July 26.
Mets vs Giants prediction
My Mets vs Giants best bet: Giants moneyline (-110 at Caesars)
I’ve never been the high man on David Peterson, and Saturday is no different. The San Francisco Giants rank in the top 10 of baseball in OPS to ground-ball pitchers versus the bottom five against fly-ballers, and Peterson is as ground ball-heavy as they come.
The lefty hasn’t exactly made life easy on himself over his career, and in 2025 his Expected Batting Average has once again pushed towards the top of the league at .270 – a number that’s somehow higher than the .262 xBA he was running over the last two seasons.
He’s done well to bring his walk rate down to a manageable spot, which has at least helped him avoid compound all the hits, but with a low 20.3% strikeout rate this guy is simply praying for plays behind him in the field.
As of now, the New York Mets are giving it to him. They rank second in Outs Above Average in the infield this month, and Peterson’s pitched to a stunning 0.92 ERA in three starts as a result.
Those outings, however, came against the Milwaukee Brewers, Baltimore Orioles and Cincinnati Reds, however. This is a Giants team that is not only red hot at the plate, but has historically hit lefties well in recent years and has crushed ground-ballers.
On top of that, the Mets are a lousy 16th in wRC+ to lefties this year, 10 spots lower than the reverse split, and Robbie Ray has looked masterful for the most part this season.
His xBA is a cool .214 and his strikeout rate remains a solid 26.2%. He’s been slightly susceptible to walks and power, sure, but the Mets own a weak .131 Isolated Power against lefties with a huge downturn in walk rate as well.
The pitching matchup wasn’t on the Mets’ side on Friday, but they wound up winning anyway. This time, I do believe the better of the two starters – and the better offense – will win out.
Mets vs Giants same-game parlay (SGP)
Giants moneyline
Rafael Devers 2+ total bases
Robbie Ray 6+ strikeouts
Rafael Devers has caught fire in the last week, hitting .346 and slugging .654 – and now it’s time to back him once again with a very hittable lefty on the bump.
Devers is hitting .270 off of lefties – a 10-point increase over the reverse split – and is slugging five points better against ground-ball arms.
With a .386 xBA in his career versus Peterson, which has amounted in a 4-for-10 lifetime line, I have no doubt that the Giants’ newest slugger is primed for a big night.
I’m just as hot on Ray here, too, given his excellent 40.2% whiff rate and 33.3% strikeout rate against the current Mets roster.
New York is striking out more against lefties and walking less, and this lack of discipline should help Ray recover from a slight stumble recently in the strikeout column. He’s notched six punchouts four times in his last six starts.
Mets vs Giants odds
Mets vs Giants live odds
Mets vs Giants opening odds
- Moneyline: New York -105 | San Francisco -115
- Run line: New York +1.5 (-200) | San Francisco -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-105) | Under 7.5 (-115)
Mets vs Giants trend
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 away games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Giants.
How to watch Mets vs Giants and game info
| Location | Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Saturday, 7-26-2025 |
| First pitch | 9:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | SNY, NBC Sports Bay Area |
| Mets starting pitcher | David Peterson (6-4, 2.90 ERA) |
| Giants starting pitcher | Robbie Ray (9-4, 2.92 ERA) |
Mets vs Giants latest injuries
Mets vs Giants weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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