The Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets in the second matchup of this three-game series at American Family Field. MLB odds list Milwaukee as a -118 favorite, while the total sits at nine.
My Mets vs. Brewers prediction targets a player prop in this National League matchup.
Read on for my MLB picks for Saturday, August 9.
Mets vs Brewers prediction
Mets vs Brewers best bet: Tobias Myers under 3.5 strikeouts (+120 at FanDuel)
The Milwaukee Brewers hand the ball to right-hander Tobias Myers, who profiles as a strong fade candidate in this matchup. Through eight appearances on the mound this season, Myers has a 4.30 ERA and 1.61 WHIP.
His underlying metrics are even worse, as he owns a 4.35 expected ERA (xERA) and a .268 expected batting average (xBA). If he officially qualified, Myers would also rank in the bottom half of the league in average exit velocity, walk rate, and hard-hit rate.
Specifically, he is worth fading in the prop market. This season, Myers has posted just a 17% whiff rate and 17.8% strikeout rate, both of which are well below league average.
Furthermore, Myers will be kept on a short leash. He has bounced between the rotation and bullpen this season and has thrown more than four innings just once across his eight games.
Finally, the New York Mets rank in the top half of the league in strikeout rate when facing right-handed pitching.
Mets vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)
Tobias Myers 2+ walks allowed
Francisco Lindor 2+ total bases
Mets moneyline
Continuing the fade of Myers, he ranks in the bottom half of the league in walk rate. A poor start from Myers would increase the Mets’ chances of winning, but they will still need offensive production.
Enter Francisco Lindor, who is 2-for-3 against Myers with a double.
Mets vs Brewers odds
Mets vs Brewers live odds
Mets vs Brewers opening odds
- Moneyline: New York -118 | Milwaukee +100
- Run line: New York -1.5 (+138) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-166)
- Over/Under: Over 9 (+100) | Under 9 (-122)
Mets vs Brewers trend
The Over is 8-2 in Milwaukee’s past 10 games.. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Brewers.
How to watch Mets vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Saturday, August 9, 2025 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | SNY, FDSNWI |
| Mets starting pitcher | Reed Garrett (3-4, 2.51 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Tobias Myers (1-1, 4.40 ERA) |
Mets vs Brewers latest injuries
Mets vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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