Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: May 19, 2026 , 12:48 PM ET • 4 min read

Dylan Cease continues to show off his strikeout stuff.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
TOR
53 %
NYY
47 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Dylan Cease o7.5  Strikeouts Thrown (+105) Dylan Cease o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
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Dylan Cease Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Dylan Cease on the mound during a recent start against the Rays.

Dylan Cease has been racking up the strikeouts for the Toronto Blue Jays lately, and I fully anticipate him to keep this trend going tonight against the New York Yankees. 

Read on to see why with my Blue Jays vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks on Tuesday, May 19.

Blue Jays vs Yankees predictions

Blue Jays vs Yankees best bet: Dylan Cease Over 7.5 strikeouts (+105)

Dylan Cease has a high strikeout total at 7.5, but I still think it's too low in this matchup. He’s averaging 8.3 strikeouts per game, going Over the number in two of his last three starts.

Cease ranks in the 97th percentile in strikeout rating with a 36% whiff rate. The New York Yankees, however, own the seventh-worst strikeout rating in baseball and have struggled with the slider, Cease's put-away pitch, in which they own a Bottom-5 whiff rate against.

Additionally, Cease has gone Over the number in back-to-back starts against the Yankees.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Dylan Cease owns a 24% strikeout rate against this Yankees lineup, while averaging 7.8 strikeouts in his six career starts against them.

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Blue Jays vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)

The Toronto Blue Jays have punished Will Warren with a .422 average and a 1.382 OPS against him throughout his career. 

One player with a lot of success against him is George Springer, who's 3-for-5 against Warren with two extra-base hits. I’ll take Over 1.5 total bases tonight as I believe his home run last night could spark a streak for the Jays' lead-off man. 

I’ll also add Springer to go Over 0.5 runs. If he gets on base often, this Jays lineup behind him has the ability to hit Warren around and bring him in. 

Blue Jays vs Yankees SGP

  • Dylan Cease Over 7.5 strikeouts
  • George Springer Over 1.5 total bases
  • George Springer Over 0.5 runs
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Blue Jays vs Yankees home run pick: Daulton Varsho (+335)

This will be a half-unit wager as Warren has only surrendered six home runs this season. However, the Jays homered four times off Warren in their last outing against him.

Daulton Varsho accounted for two of them in his lone two plate appearances against Warren. I’ll bet on him to take him deep again tonight.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 20-26, -2.6 units
  • SGPs: 8-38, -4.2 units
  • HR picks: 8-38, +4.15 units

Blue Jays vs Yankees odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +114 | New York -135
  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-180)  | New York -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

Blue Jays vs Yankees trend

The Blue Jays have stayed Under their team total in 16 of their last 23 road games for +8.4 units and a 31% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Yankees.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Yankees and game info

Location Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Date Tuesday, May 19, 2026
First pitch 7:05 p.m. ET
TV TBS
Blue Jays starting pitcher Dylan Cease
(3-1, 2.41 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcher Will Warren
(5-1, 3.42 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Yankees latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Yankees weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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