The Milwaukee Brewers will try to build on their recent strong play as they host the floundering New York Mets at American Family Field tonight.
With New York mired in offensive struggles and facing a stingy Brandon Woodruff, my Mets vs. Brewers predictions are taking Milwaukee to win.
Read on for a full analysis of the first game of this series in my free MLB picks for Friday, August 8.
Mets vs Brewers prediction
Mets vs Brewers best bet: Brewers moneyline (-140 at BetMGM)
The New York Mets have lost eight of nine, and even their normal success at Citi Field eluded them in a recent six-game homestand. Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Brewers have now won nine of 10. On form alone, picking Milwaukee to win at American Family Field seems like a smart call.
But the pitching matchup also has me concerned for New York’s chances.
Brandon Woodruff looks to be in prime form since returning from the shoulder surgery. In five starts, he’s 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA and a 0.635 WHIP – not sustainable numbers, but ones that show Woodruff hasn’t lost a step.
Normally, we’d be on tap for a great pitching matchup tonight, as the Mets are deploying ace Kodai Senga. But while Senga’s overall numbers are outstanding, he has struggled since returning from a hamstring injury. In his last three starts, Senga has an 8.25 ERA, allowing four homers and surrendering 11 walks in 12 innings of work.
The Mets are averaging 3.22 runs per game over the last nine, and will struggle to improve against Woodruff and the Milwaukee bullpen.
Mets vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)
Brewers moneyline
Brandon Woodruff Over 6.5 strikeouts
Andrew Vaughn Over 0.5 RBI
I like the Brewers to win tonight behind Woodruff, so I’m including the starter to hit the Over on his strikeout total, as he is averaging 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings since returning this season.
I’ll also take Andrew Vaughn to pick up at least one RBI tonight, as he has knocked in four runs over his last two games.
Mets vs Brewers odds
Mets vs Brewers live odds
Mets vs Brewers opening odds
- Moneyline: New York +110 | Milwaukee -130
- Run line: New York +1.5 (-220) | Milwaukee -1.5 (+180)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115)
Mets vs Brewers trend
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 68 games (+27.95 Units / 31% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Brewers.
How to watch Mets vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Friday, August 8, 2025 |
| First pitch | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | SNY, FDSN Wisconsin |
| Mets starting pitcher | Kodai Senga (7-3, 2.31 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Brandon Woodruff (3-0, 2.22 ERA) |
Mets vs Brewers latest injuries
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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