Who will win Marlins vs Phillies today: Marlins (+197)
The Fightin' Fish look pretty delectable this evening after coming off a 6-5 loss last night. They now draw veteran right-hander Zack Wheeler, who has looked off in his last three outings. Wheeler owns a 5.84 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and a 10.34% walk rate during that stretch. With the Miami Marlins' lineup starting to heat up again, this could be an interesting matchup.
The Marlins own a 119 wRC+, .339 wOBA, and .759 OPS in their last six games. The Philadelphia Phillies' offense has been great, but they don't boast as many hitters barreling the ball like the Marlins, which is why the latter is an intriguing pick at a near 2/1 price.
Tyler Phillips seems likely to follow opener Cade Gibson for Miami. He's been struggling, but paying more than two dollars for a team to secure a win on a random Tuesday in August doesn't move any needles.
COVERS INTEL: Owen Caissie sports a .274 ISO, 50% hard-hit rate, and a 19.4% barrel rate over his last 60 plate appearances against right-handed pitching.
Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (+105)
With over half of the Marlins' lineup batting from the left side this evening, runs could be on the horizon. Wheeler has scuffling against left-handed hitters in his last three outings, posting a 6.75 ERA, 5.78 xERA, 6.05 xFIP, and 15.2% walk rate. Phillips has also been lagging on the road, where he owns a near 6.00 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP.
Both offenses are hitting extremely well right now, so I expect plenty of runs. After 11 runs were scored last night, we should see a similar offensive explosion this evening.
Marlins vs Phillies home run prediction: Griffin Conine (+474)
It's very hard to ignore a batter who's been producing this much hard contact over his last 10 games, and Marlins outfielder Griffin Conine has been destroying baseballs. He owns a .690 slugging percentage, .345 ISO, 15.8% ground-ball rate, 58% hard-hit rate, and 21.1% barrel rate during that stretch.
Wheeler has taken a step back against left-handed hitters. The last 60 he's faced are making 44% hard contact, and barreling the ball 11% of the time with just a 22% ground-ball rate. Wheeler is also allowing a 2.08 HR/9 during that span.
Conine enters today with the highest matchup rating in this game, according to Batters-Box, where he covers 60% of Wheeler's offerings.
At +474, we're getting a great price for a hitter absolutely killing the baseball. Play this down to +450.
- MLB Season: 410-789, -4.4 units
- Home Run: 104-360, +17.2 units
Marlins vs Phillies weather
Marlins vs Phillies odds
- Moneyline: Marlins +197 | Phillies -219
- Run line: Marlins +1.5 (-112) | Phillies -1.5 (-103)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+105) | Under 8.5 (-116)
Marlins vs Phillies trend
The Miami Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last nine games (+7.50 Units / 69% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Marlins vs. Phillies.
How to watch Marlins vs Phillies and game info
| Location | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pa. |
| Date | Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | Marlins.TV, NBC Sports Philadelphia |
| Marlins starting pitcher | Tyle Phillips (3-6, 3.65 ERA) |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Zack Wheeler (10-4, 2.89 ERA) |
Marlins vs Phillies latest injuries
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